It would seem that pollsters have some big problems.
Maybe they are scared to take a stab at who the winner will be because they can no longer trust the people they poll to tell the truth....or else, they cannot predict the amount of cheating the dems are bound to do.
I think youre on to something there. No one wants to stick their neck out. Romney up 9 with indies is good enough for me.
They are just being pragmatic.
THey have some sense of where things will go, but are not sure, and need to balance risk versus gain.
They can slant things for Romney; if they are right, that's fine. If they are wrong, there will be recriminations from the regime's second term. Somewhat less risk, but chance of BIG Problems.
OR.... they can slant things for 0', much more likely they are wrong, but if they are indeed wrong, there will be no recriminations from Romney, and if they are right, there also are no recriminations from the regime's second term.
THus, one way has a two outcomes - the likely with no downside and the unlikely with BIG downside. Compare to the other way - also with two outcomes - both likely and unlikely with no downsides to either.