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To: Impy; ConservativeMan55; randita

ConservativeMan55, are you up for doing a House version?

I propose these rules:
a. the district must be winnable in NOV.
b. the primary is expected to be close (the outcome is in doubt)
c. there is a significant difference between the candidates.

Maine-2 Bruce Poliquin is the only one that qualifies in the 6 New England states. This allows us to whittle the list down to a few dozen races nationally.

Wasn’t somebody working on this in ‘12?


16 posted on 05/07/2014 2:36:56 PM PDT by campaignPete R-CT (Let the dead bury the dead. Let the GOP bury the GOP.)
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To: campaignPete R-CT

Why wouldn’t Frank Guinta in NH-01 qualify under your rules? Isn’t there a significant difference between him and his opponent (gay social liberal RINO Dan Innis)? The NH-01 is certainly competitive in the general (Guinta won it in 2010 and was narrowly defeated in 2012, but he should win back what is by most measures the most Republican congressional district in New England). And Innis has been competitive in his fundraising and has quite a bit of support, even from confused conservatives (he’s one of those self-proclaimed gay Tea Partiers, don’t you know?).


17 posted on 05/07/2014 2:47:26 PM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (If a politician won't protect innocent babies, what makes you think that he'll defend your rights?)
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To: campaignPete R-CT; AuH2ORepublican; fieldmarshaldj; ConservativeMan55; Sun; InterceptPoint; ...

Some important ones I forgot August 5

Michigan

Brian Ellis over Paulistianian Justin Amash in MI-4

Dave Trott over electorally weak Ronulan Kerry Benvitolio in MI-11

Louisiana Open Primary in November Stop RINO Dan Claitor

The only rats in the race are penniless nobodies and one penniless disgrace, Edwin Edwards. Claitor will probably make the runoff and is the defacto rat nominee. Republicans Garret Graves and Paul Dietzel are the only other candidates to raise appreciable amounts of money.

Graves was part of the Jindal administration (chair of the Coastal Something Something Authority) his website appears to be nothing but a page asking for donations.

Paul Dietzel is a young businessman, 27 or so I think. Looks impressive at first glance. His namesake Grandpa was head coach at LSU. I can’t say for certain he’s not a Ronulan though, needs further investigating.

My thoughts on NH

CD-1 Gunita should win the nomination easily, but maybe better safe than sorry

CD-2 I think Garcia’s increased elecibitly over Lambert makes her worthy to support in the primary even if they are about the same on the issues.

TN-4 State Senator Jim Tracy is only viable challenger against DesJarlais , who is I think a conservative but a scumbag who’s embarrassed the party. The other candidates only serve to split the anti-DesJarlais vote. Tracy is far out-raising DesJarlais.

NY-4 Blakeman appears to have the CON and IND ballot lines and 3 times as much money as Scaturro. I can’t speak to either man’s conservatism but I’m not sure Scaturro can win the nomination or if he would have a chance in November, he’s a grumbling outsider type, opponent of the party machine which does suck I’m sure but will be needed to win the GE (which is an outside chance I’d say).

In 2012 he ran as write in for the Conservative party nomination and won it over Francis Becker who the CON leaders endorsed. Becker won the GOP primary however and Scaturro stayed in the race and split the vote, getting 6%. Scaturro also clearly edits his own wikipedia page.

NY 1- Demos has twice as much money as State Senator Lee Zeldin. But Zeldin has the Conservative Party. Pataki endorsed Demos. Zeldin put out a dishonest ad calling Demos a “Pelosi Republican” because Demos’ father in law gave money to Pelosi (and to Demos). Both appear to be conservative. I would guess Zeldin is a stronger GE candidate.

I don’t know about that one. I just hope the vote is not split in November.


27 posted on 05/08/2014 12:02:55 AM PDT by Impy (RED=COMMUNIST, NOT REPUBLICAN)
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