Ebola Cases & Deaths UPDATED 09/16/14 - 5006 CASES - 2469 DEATHS
http://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/10665/133546/1/roadmapupdate16sept14_eng.pdf?ua=1
We have 5,000 WHO reported Ebola cases on Sept 16th from a base line of ~3,000 cases on Sept 1, 2014 against a projected 6,000 cases by 1 Oct 2014.
We are at 2/3 of a doubling in two weeks -without- Liberia updating since 9 Sept 2014.
We are going to surpass 6,000 cases before Sept 24st, without any further Liberia updates. And frankly the lack of reporting from Liberia is scarier than a report from them putting us over 6,000.
Our troops are going to be where no reports are coming from.
Was the note of R0 between 5 and 20 from Liberia maybe?
That would mean they have no clue about the numbers there right now. And if it’s on fomites in the public taxis and heaven only knows where else...
Prayers up for the troop going there.
It appears Liberia has reached the point where systems of reporting have broken down.
The question is one of how many people, on average, have to be disabled, dead, or flee before critical systems cease functioning.
None of the vehicles, equipment or stocks we send there will come back if we don’t include the CBW decontamination vehicles and equipment. They’ll all become contaminated with Ebola and turn into big fomites that will spread Ebola here.