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To: ansel12
So far it looks like the predictions of some posters that ran up to 6 billion by June of 2016, may have been too high.

I'm not sure about those numbers but the rate of infections is till doubling every month and the death rate is still at 70%.

That means if there's been 15,000 cases so far (and both WHO and the CDC believe this is underreported by a factor of 2 to 3 times) then in another month there will have been 30,000 cases.

So by Dec 20, 30,000.

By Jan 20, 60,000
By Feb, 120,000
By March, 240,000
By April, 480,000
By May 960,0000
By June 1,920,0000
By July 3,840,000
By August 7,680,000
By Sept 2015: 15,360,000
By October 2015: 30,720,000
By November 2015: 61,440,000

At a 70% death rate over 43,000,000 will be dead.

Again the rate of infection is at least doubling every single month...still. That hasn't changed. IF it continues this IS what will happen.

The ONLY thing that has changed is that the Ebola "czar" has leaned on the press to make it not so scary. But math is math and there is still no cure and no vaccine. And the death rate is still 70%.

It's not "predictions". It's not fear mongering. It's not alarmism. It's looking at the numbers, looking at the infection rates and extrapolating from there. If nothing changes this IS what will happen.

13 posted on 11/20/2014 8:09:03 AM PST by DouglasKC
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To: DouglasKC

So you are predicting 43 million dead by next November, that is fewer than the predictions that run as high as 6 billion.

How many Americans are you predicting?


14 posted on 11/20/2014 8:16:19 AM PST by ansel12
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To: DouglasKC
I'm not sure about those numbers but the rate of infections is till doubling every month and the death rate is still at 70%.

It appears to be doubling every 6 weeks but that is based on OFFICIAL stats which vastly underestimate the true figure.

23 posted on 11/20/2014 8:43:00 AM PST by PJ-Comix (Coakley/Gruber 2016!!!)
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