Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Fed Now Sees Only 0.2% GDP Growth In Q1
Zero Hedge ^

Posted on 03/25/2015 5:01:52 PM PDT by Perdogg

From almost 2.5% GDP growth expectations in February, The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has now collapsed its estimates of Q1 GDP growth to just 0.2% - plunging from +1.4% just 2 weeks ago. The reality of plunging capex and no decoupling is starting to rear its ugly head in the hard data and as the sun warms things up, weather will start to lose its ability to sway sentiment. While sell-side consensus has dropped (Goldman, Morgan Stanley, and Barclays all cut today following Durable goods), it remains unable to quite accept the reality of massively weaker than expected macro data evident everywhere (except in the soft-survey PMI data).

(Excerpt) Read more at zerohedge.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-22 next last

1 posted on 03/25/2015 5:01:52 PM PDT by Perdogg
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Makes me take pause and wonder what the real number is


2 posted on 03/25/2015 5:04:03 PM PDT by al baby (Hi Mom)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Rolling!!!


3 posted on 03/25/2015 5:05:28 PM PDT by mothball
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

0.2% growth is a rounding error. Its a meaningless number. IOW more BS from the BS.er in chief.


4 posted on 03/25/2015 5:05:38 PM PDT by Don Corleone ("Oil the gun..eat the cannoli. Take it to the Mattress.")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

If you Subtract Government Deficit Spending, it has been NEGATIVE FOR 30 YEARS, EVERY QUARTER!!!


5 posted on 03/25/2015 5:05:46 PM PDT by eyeamok
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: al baby; Perdogg
Makes me take pause and wonder what the real number is

I would guess about negative 3%.


6 posted on 03/25/2015 5:06:17 PM PDT by SkyPilot ("I am the way and the truth and the life. No one comes to the Father except through me." John 14:6)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Fun with numbers is now a daily occurrence.


7 posted on 03/25/2015 5:08:16 PM PDT by Kickass Conservative (Advertising Space Available here.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

If they claim .2%, you can bet your bottom dollar it is actually more like a 1 - 2% contraction.

We have been in a Depression for six years. Everyone not in the market or the Government KNOWS IT! They can only paper over the truth for so long.


8 posted on 03/25/2015 5:09:23 PM PDT by Jim from C-Town (The government is rarely benevolent, often malevolent and never benign!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

The MSM will get around to reporting this after they’ve completed their investigation of Ted Cruz’s health insurance.


9 posted on 03/25/2015 5:16:14 PM PDT by skeeter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Jim from C-Town

they will paper over it ... until a Republican takes over, then the bottom will drop out of the numbers!


10 posted on 03/25/2015 5:18:05 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009 (Obama lied .. the economy died.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

Yet we managed last year to send 342 billion more dollars to China, than China sent here.

And that continues, year after year. After year. After year.

America needs to manufacture things again. Right here in America.


11 posted on 03/25/2015 5:18:31 PM PDT by Cringing Negativism Network (http://www.census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5700.html)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg
That's two revisions on Q1, isn't it? Are they done yet?

This is all about putting Yellen in a box to hold off increasing rates.

I gather there is a GREAT deal of vested interest in keeping rates down.

Unfortunately, it's killing everyone except the superrich.

12 posted on 03/25/2015 5:19:01 PM PDT by 9thLife ("Life is a military endeavor..." -- Pope Francis)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

Hope for Spare Change


13 posted on 03/25/2015 5:28:45 PM PDT by dsrtsage (One half of all people have below average IQ. In the US the number is 54%ij)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: al baby
Makes me take pause and wonder what the real number is

That was my first thought as well. All government numbers are faked. So if even the faked numbers are bad...

14 posted on 03/25/2015 5:36:44 PM PDT by Leaning Right (Why am I holding this lantern? I am looking for the next Reagan.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: al baby

That damn weather again...


15 posted on 03/25/2015 5:41:27 PM PDT by epluribus_2 (he had the best mm - ever.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg
"UNEXPECTED!"

16 posted on 03/25/2015 5:41:41 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TexasFreeper2009

I’ve always wondered if we’re just better off voting for a Dem just to let them have the collapse.


17 posted on 03/25/2015 5:52:03 PM PDT by CommieCutter
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: Don Corleone
thank you,,, simply noise in the data
18 posted on 03/25/2015 6:02:53 PM PDT by Chode (Stand UP and Be Counted, or line up and be numbered - *DTOM* -w- NO Pity for the LAZY - 86-44)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: Jim from C-Town

Even people who are vested in the market, KNOW this !


19 posted on 03/25/2015 6:13:32 PM PDT by nopardons
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Perdogg

20 posted on 03/25/2015 6:17:27 PM PDT by MaxMax (Pay Attention and you'll be pissed off too! FIRE BOEHNER, NOW!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-22 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
General/Chat
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson