In 2016, sometime in that last few days before the election and when both the House and Congress are in session, A black swan event will happen, decimating the U.S legislation and giving Obama the pretext to cancel the elections and continue on as President.
The above is speculative fictional thinking for entertainment purposes only.
Sometime before you predict it to be and several times worse than anyone expected.
A true investor should not worry about a "crash" because he will use the "buy and hold" strategy.
Invest in solid companies and hold for the long term. Ride the inevitable ups and downs. I've been investing since 1982 and only sold stocks once in the 33 years since. I don't try to time markets and I don't try to avoid crashes. I rode out the 1987 crash and the 2000 dot-com crash with no ill effects at all.
So what if the market crashes. If you don't sell, you don't lock in your losses and so long as you invested in solid companies, you can ride them back up.
3rd or 4th quarter.
Trouble will become great in August with the NWO harvesting the market late September.
Any day from now.
Some time in the next decade, somewhere in the world, a nuclear bomb is going to be detonated by a group not affiliated with any major government.
Within 24 hours, power players everywhere will realize: "That could have been me!" And the economic landscape will change - instantly and dramatically.
But until that time, the casino will remain open.
Don’t know, but something spooked the oil industry last week in our area, gas prices went up 12 cents in one day.
Study the subject of ‘derivatives’ so you will be able to understand why the market is crashing. Safe investment before it happens: VIPSX
Nobody knows when, how much, or how long the stock market will “crash”: that’s anybody’s guess. If a “crash” means permanent destruction, then we have much bigger problems.
When will the stock market crash?
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Crashes in modern times occur very shortly after the Federal Reserve inverts the yield curve.
http://stockcharts.com/freecharts/yieldcurve.php
My wife has been bugging me to put a bunch of money in the market which is just sitting in cash. The crash will happen as soon as I do that.
If I knew that then I'd know when to sell short, make my fortune, and retire before I'm 40.
Hopefully soon. Not many bargains out there lately. My monthly allotment doesn’t get as many shares it used too. A 10000 point fall would be nice.
I studied frantically to try to understand the market during 2002 to 2008. Then the Fed printed 5 Trillion dollars to prop it up, and now I know there is no understanding the market.
Yes, I know the market will crash. It has to. But that is useless knowledge because, as Keyes said, “Markets can remain irrational a lot longer than you can remain solvent.”
I give up. I just play it safe these days. I need gold if anything.
As soon as Soros, the Clintons and the Obamas have everything moved to Myanmar.
Not in 2015. Not close enough to the election.
the next crash will come at one of two times:
1) in the aftermath of a change in current Fed interest rate policy
2) when the economic damage of the failure to change the current Fed interest rate policy becomes great enough that no policy can push the day of reckoning one day further into the future
See this FRpost from 2013 for reference.
Prediction of a Crash in next two weeks...
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/3053872/posts