METHODOLOGY
This survey of 1,465 adults was conducted Oct. 29-Nov. 4 by The Marist Poll, sponsored and funded in partnership with McClatchy. Adults residing in the continental United States were interviewed in English or Spanish by telephone using live interviewers. Land-line telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation from ASDE Survey Sampler Inc. The exchanges were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Respondents in the household were then selected by first asking for the youngest male. To increase coverage, this land-line sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of cellphone numbers from Survey Sampling International. The two samples were then combined and balanced to reflect the 2013 American Community Survey one-year estimates for age, gender, income, race and region. Results are statistically significant within plus or minus 2.6 percentage points. There are 1,080 registered voters. The results for this subset are statistically significant within plus or minus 3.0 percentage points. The error margin was not adjusted for sample weights and increases for cross-tabulations.
I doubt the ACS errors make that much difference.
This a poll of ‘anyone’ who claims to be an adult voter, with a subset (which they don’t give the results for) of those who ‘say’ they are registered voters.
Throw in wording and ordering of questions with McClatchy’s noted bias and it’s just something to use to write a story.
Doubtless, though, Bernie and Hillary have been cocooned by the media so people have a higher opinion of them now than common sense would predict.