Point well taken. There will likely be a spike in July of 2016 as the one-year interval runs out. Hell, I'll be one of them, too.
But I don't think it's going to account for a large, lasting quantity in the grand scheme of things. It'll be a bump, but it won't make the long-term difference. That's got to come from business customers, and they are very wary and conservative, and they can't be pushed by "free" offers as easily as home consumer users.
Enterprise business customers won't get on this bandwagon for at least another 3 years. Windows 7 has a long life ahead for them.
Maybe. To some degree it's going to depend on Server 2016, and what new features it offers and how much of that will work with down-level clients.
I'm in IT. What I'm hearing from IT directors, techs, etc is that a fair number of companies are already in the process of moving to Win10. Reception has generally been good.
Not me, I'm the conservative type. Will wait for the first service pack, at least.
I like what I see from it, though. Incorporates the things that I like from Windows 7, without all of the radical design changes of Windows 8. I think that users in my community will accept it.
And all of the hand-wringing on FR about privacy intrusions, etc? Well..... Yes, Windows 10 is a lot more intrusive .......if you don't know what you're doing. All of the the "intrusions", though, can be turned off. And, will be in the build that gets distributed to the users in my company. Microsoft can do its own #$#@$@$ consumer research, we don't need to do it for them. :-)