[dangus]

I’m updating EVERYONE, because someday Iowa will be in the past, and I care about my reputation on Free Republic.

Trump was gravely harmed by backing out of the debate; there was a huge swing to Cruz. But Cruz was gravely harmed by the idiotic mailer. The data I’m seeing is that the people angry at Cruz went to Trump. But the people who comprise my data are basically going to choose between Cruz or Trump come hell or high water. Some polls suggest that Rubio is the real beneficiary of all of this. Two recent polls show huge gains for Rubio. Given my sources, I have no way of knowing whether this is true.

Personally, I think Rubio is utterly clueless on the issues, a useless tool of the mainstream-left, statist establishment. He’s certainly more electable than Trump, but what’s the point? I’m fearful Trump is a statist tool; I know Rubio is. He may not be vengeful, petty would-ve tyrant Trump is, but only because he lacks an independent will.

Get out there everyone and clobber Rubio! And keep your chins up, Cruz fans... the Trumpeters are already making stupid excuses for doing poorly. (The “approaching blizzard” will arrive late for the caucuses and be mostly rain over the metropolitan areas that Trump polls most strongly over.)

My prediction based on other, public sources is that Trump loses. There is no surge in registrations, which is (only) an indicator that Trump (unfortunately) is bringing no-one new to the party. He could even finish third.

[Georgia Girl 2]

“The data I’m seeing is that the people angry at Cruz went to Trump. But the people who comprise my data are basically going to choose between Cruz or Trump come hell or high water. Some polls suggest that Rubio is the real beneficiary of all of this. Two recent polls show huge gains for Rubio. Given my sources, I have no way of knowing whether this is true”

So basically you have no clue. :-)

[McGruff]

You sound desperate. We’ll know tomorrow. I suggest taking sedatives until then.

[HereInTheHeartland]

I will be voting for Cruz tonight. But I expect Trump to likely win; but it's close.
The weather shouldn't be much of a factor; it should move in after the voting is over. Sunny and beautiful right now in Des Moines.
I am surprised/dismayed at how much Sanders support there is.
Socialism used to be rightly viewed as something negative (which it is); but there are way too many people supporting it with Sanders.

I just hope our nation can survive in its present form.

[justlittleoleme]

Thank YOU!!

[BlueNgold]

I appreciate your analysis.

I am still believing that Laudner is farther ahead of the game than people expect.

[VanDeKoik]

tl;dr edition

Please excuse me whip I’ll feed you a lot of propaganda and predict that Cruz will win based on complete BS.

[AllAmericanGirl44]

Not sure how I ended up on this ping - because I’ve shown an interest in Trump?

Seriously, back off - I don’t much care what any armchair pundits say in this forum - whether they are for or against any candidate. Take me off your little list and please do not include me in the future.

Thanks

[Nifster]

It seems to me that all along folks have been saying Cruz would win the caucus state of Iowa but that Trump would win NH and SC.

Probably will work out that way

[CottonBall]

Why is Trump affected by weather more than the other candidates?

This is a serious question. I’ve heard about this several times, but still don’t get it.