I don’t know if I’d go that far, but if Cruz can win at least two of the four states tonight, I think Trump’s campaign may come out of this hurt more seriously than his supporters think.
Another problem for Trump is Rubio’s poor showing. The ‘anti-Trump’ vote seems to be trying to coalesce around one candidate now, that being Cruz. If Rubio’s bad outing convinces his supporters to start fleeing the sinking ship, are the majority of them going to go to Cruz? I think they probably will.
I’m not ready to say that Trump is finished, by any stretch, but I think, for the first time, Trump could now be seriously vulnerable.
Rubio voters going to Cruz says a lot about Cruz AND the Rubio voters.
There is no way Cruz or Rubio can win enough delegates to get the nomination. Trump is the only one with a path to do that. We have some big states like NY, NJ, FL, MI, and OH coming up. Three of them are winner take all states. Which ones will Cruz win?