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Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
FiveThirtyEight.com ^ | APR 11, 2016 | HARRY ENTEN

Posted on 04/11/2016 1:04:53 PM PDT by Kegger

Despite getting drubbed in Wisconsin this week, Donald Trump has won more votes than any other Republican candidate this year. So, he’s doing OK, right? Well, for all the talk that unbound delegates and quirky convention rules could prevent Trump from winning the GOP nomination, it’s easy to forget that Republican voters also play a part. Trump’s 37 percent of the cumulative primary vote and 46 percent of delegates won so far may sound impressive, but his percentages make him the weakest Republican front-runner, at this point in the process, in decades.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: eastern; madness; nonresident; rage
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To: Paradox
If this is the best response you've got, then we are simply doomed.

How about telling us how many candidates were running simultaneously in the previous elections?

If you can't answer that, then we are simply doomed.
21 posted on 04/11/2016 1:15:46 PM PDT by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media. #2ndAmendmentMatters)
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To: boycott

You and “pollster1” just went way over the Cruz lover’s heads....


22 posted on 04/11/2016 1:15:51 PM PDT by JBW1949
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To: grania

“.......nothing says “weakest candidate ever” more than tens of thousands of folks at rallies with more than six months before the election.”......

Trump still has the largest turnouts of all the candidates put together.


23 posted on 04/11/2016 1:15:51 PM PDT by DaveA37
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To: Kegger

Of course he is!!!!!!

Just ignore those stadiums full of people showing up to see him, HilLIARy is going to cream him!!

People Love hilLIARy!


24 posted on 04/11/2016 1:15:59 PM PDT by Mr. K
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To: Kegger

Actually, Trump is probably strongest front runner in modern American history. Who other than a great candidate could have withstood tens of millions of dollars in attack ads from PACs and donors in his own party? Certainly not CheaTED.


25 posted on 04/11/2016 1:16:48 PM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: boycott

Lately I have seen many stupid articles posted here by the handful of posters who never seem to be off here.


26 posted on 04/11/2016 1:17:07 PM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: DaveA37

What is really funny is that everything these GOPe lovers try seems to backfire on them just like when the liberal, socialist media tries against Trump...


27 posted on 04/11/2016 1:18:22 PM PDT by JBW1949
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To: Pollster1
Trump ran in a larger field than the other leading candidates for longer than they did. Of course he has a smaller share of the cumulative votes.

Candidates have been dropping out all along. Rubio dropped out a month ago. I think the point is Donald's numbers haven't been rising in correlation.

28 posted on 04/11/2016 1:19:13 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: manc

When you have recently retired, you find more time to come in here...


29 posted on 04/11/2016 1:19:15 PM PDT by JBW1949
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To: Kegger
Donald Trump has won more votes than any other Republican candidate this year. So, ... it’s easy to forget that Republican voters also play a part.


30 posted on 04/11/2016 1:20:31 PM PDT by Talisker (One who commands, must obey.)
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To: Kegger

Yeah...but typically by this time, the choice is pretty much already clear, and the votes that the one remaining candidate is not getting are just protest votes from hard-cases.

It’s extremely rare to be this late into the season and have three viable candidates left, and to have had five or six just a few weeks before.


31 posted on 04/11/2016 1:20:35 PM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (You can't have a constitution without a country to go with it)
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To: Blood of Tyrants
According to Trump supporters, he should be anointed now and we should just skip the convention.

In a sane world, if every candidate but one is mathematically eliminated (which is likely to happen by the end of this month) then the one left standing is the winner. -- Jim Robinson, April 7, 2016

It's time all the losers, including Cruz, dropped out after being eliminated.

32 posted on 04/11/2016 1:21:10 PM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: Harpotoo
If Trump is weak then what’s that make Cruz???
Another bad candidate that has no chance in the General Election.
33 posted on 04/11/2016 1:21:38 PM PDT by j_k_l
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To: Harpotoo

If Trump actually honors voters and doesn’t steal other candidates delegates , how is that weak? I find it honorable and in the great traditions of fairness and honesty. I find cruz, on the otherhand, to be not only a liar but a low life thief. Fortunately, he will never win and he is inelegible under the constitution from even being President because he wasn’t born here.


34 posted on 04/11/2016 1:22:22 PM PDT by WENDLE (I guess)
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To: skeeter
I think the point is Donald's numbers haven't been rising in correlation.

The certainly seem to be in the upcoming primaries.

35 posted on 04/11/2016 1:22:45 PM PDT by Kazan (Trump: Pit bull, Hillary: Pound of hamburger)
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To: Kegger

Nobody can ever be weaker than Romney.


36 posted on 04/11/2016 1:23:50 PM PDT by rdl6989
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To: Kazan
Everyone expects his homes state will be a slam dunk for him.

BTW I'd like to see Cruz's curve on this chart. It might be illuminating.

37 posted on 04/11/2016 1:24:31 PM PDT by skeeter
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To: Kegger

Wow, that is a very stark and frightening chart.


38 posted on 04/11/2016 1:25:03 PM PDT by Obadiah
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To: Kegger
Clinton beats Trump in every category among the general electorate, including on the questions of who is best to create jobs, who is better on international trade and who can "Make America Great Again," which of course is Trump's campaign slogan.

39 posted on 04/11/2016 1:25:07 PM PDT by Berlin_Freeper
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To: Kegger; All

Bush, Dole, Romney and McCain DID NOT HAVE THE GOP ESTABLISHMENT trying to sabotage them at every turn like Trump.

Furthermore, there were not as many people running as Trump has.

If Kasich was not such a low life turd and step down like past candidates, then Trump would get all 66 Delegates out of Ohio per state law.

Thus, the numbers would be differently.

Finally the other candidates did not have their vote stolen from them in Colorado.

So you have you want to listen to the insider phony Nate Silver left wing hack, then that is your business.


40 posted on 04/11/2016 1:25:13 PM PDT by Enlightened1
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