#1 In Iowa, you can vote already. So far, returned ballots from registered Democrats are down 50% from 2012.
#2, and this is certainly not scientific, but there is a Twitter account called UNI Confessions that is run by some students at the University of Northern Iowa. They have over 10,000 followers. What you might expect from college kids, retweets about funny stuff, school, sex, homework and so on. Yesterday, they did a survey of their followers on the election. The followers don't have to be students, but of course, the vast majority are. While not impossible to stuff the ballot box, there wouldn't be much double voting. The student body is about 12,000 students, 2/3 female, 90% white, 90% Iowans. Again, I don't know the demographics of the Twitter account, but it probably isn't far from the demographics of the school. Here are your results.
1550 votes, 38% Trump, 31% Johnson, 31% Clinton.
That is amazing to me, that a survey of young people, with half being female, and Clinton came in last of those 3. Doesn't mean those people will actually go out and vote. The key takeaway to me is there no youth enthusiasm for Clinton.
Good info. Thanks.