I don’t expect NH to go to Trump if PA doesn’t. Thus if your maps holds, Clinton squeaks it out at 272, which is sadly plausible. That said, if Trump takes PA I think he could also take Michigan and New Hampshire.
I think NH goes Trump before PA will, but the polls show PA closer than NH. NH is sort of an odd state, still mostly white but trending liberal with all the Mass transplants. At least Chris Sununu, the GOP candidate for governor, is defending Trump. Worthless Kelly Ayotte cut and run a while ago.