My guess is we pick up 1-3 Senate seats and maybe keep the House. I’m concerned that omnibus bill passage may keep republicans home.
I like Trump but I have come to loathe the Republicans in Congress. They have done virtually nothing since we gave them control over both houses of Congress to support the agenda upon which Trump was elected. In fact they have gone out of their way to obstruct the president’s agenda and they have actively facilitated the Mueller witch hunt. GOP is not to be trusted. Are they worse than Democrats? Yeah, I guess. But I am not motivated to vote for GOP anymore.
First poll after primary, Manchin behind 2 points.
https://www.outsidethebeltway.com/first-west-virginia-poll-shows-morrisey-leading-manchin/
GOP will lose a few in the House and gain 1-2 in U.S. Senate. Stabenow is safe, unless James catches on and gets Trump’s support. Pensler is not a good candidate.
A good voting turnout will be essential to over come the come out efforts of the Democtats fraudulent voting machine. The “blue wave” is the pre set cover story to explain the unusual spike in Democrat votes caused by election fraud.
The only reason Trump won is the Democrat miscalculation of the levels of voters that turned out for him. The fix was in, but the unusual turnout was 3 times the fix.
A strong pub turnout will free Trump, a weak one tie his hands.
Sleeping in will be a disaster!
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FREEPERS are bashing Scott all over the place. Many here prefer Nelson. Don’t be shocked if conservatives especially on Free Republic keep Nelson in that seat.
Need enough margin in the Senate to negate “part-time Republican” wimps like McCain, Collins, Murkowski ...
Graham seems to be coming around
Flakey, just GTFO
We are going to have to do it for Trump.
I don’t yet see the temperament of the electorate to deliver the result that you predict. It’s certainly possible and the trends are going in the right direction. But, the nation is still evenly divided with respect to the President and the disdain for the Congress must fall on the Republicans more so than the Democrats because the GOP controls both Houses. Add the special sauce of the media propaganda and the probability of your outcome is pretty low. The Democrats still want to impeach Trump and they really believe the Blue Wave nonsense. The electorate will remain indifferent to the mid-term election and if they vote, they will more than likely vote based on something that they heard from CNN, CBS, or the Today Show. You already know what the media will say, regardless of what happens in Washington between now and November.
The good news is that the result will probably mirror the 2016 election, so we will see gains in both the Senate and in the House, but the numbers will be single digits in the Senate and low double numbers in the House. Continuing successes will bump those numbers somewhat, a big blowout is not going to happen.
A Republican is not going to beat Tim Kaine.
One thing that should be taken into consideration, is that we have many many examples of things turning out quite the opposite of how the media has projected them to turn out. In other words the media has become laughable not just in its anti-trump bias, but in its inability to predict the future accurately. As if anyone needed to know that. So I would be happy if this was yet another example. What you are being told in the media is more accurately projected to be precisely the opposite of what eventually happens.
From your lips to God’s ears......
Claire McCaskill is supposedly always vulnerable, but she wins handily 2006 and 2012. 49.6% to 47.3%, 54.7% to 39.2% respectively. Todd Aidin of course imploded from the brain then exploded from the mouth over a minor abortion technocality. Legitimate Rape vs Non-Legitimate Rape. Or as Whoopie puts it, rape-rape.
I would put McCaskill in the non-vulnerable list and move on to better prospects.
The primaries are starting to give us more Trumpies. The ones last week in West Virginia, Indiana, Ohio and North Carolina were very positive. Let’s see what happens this coming week especially in Pennsylvania. I suspect about 80% of GOP Candidates will be Trumpies. I think a lot of folks are going to be surprised how well the Republicans do, come November.
As for Elizabeth Warren & Tim Kaine being safe Democrat seats...don’t be so sure. The Massachusetts, Boston Irish-Catholic Democrats have no use for Warren, plus she is a 100% nutcase and if Tim Kaine is opposed by a true Trumpie Conservative, you folks will be stunned in positive fashion as to how many folks turnout to support and vote for the Trump candidate. Add to this that Tim Kaine was a terrible, bumbling morn as Clinton’s chioce for VP in 2016.
* * * Cockiness is a jinx * * *
'It' ain't over 'til it's over'.
Hillary lost because she and her team were confident she couldn't lose.
It's difficult to make predictions, especially about the future.
There's enough time until the mid terms for something we can't know or predict that can go horribly wrong.
For example, what if it turns out there was, unbeknownst to Trump, a Russia-friendly mole in his campaign staff?
What if some idiotic big name Republican is found to be caught up in an indefensible action that can be linked by association to every other Republican up for re-election?
The possibility of an 'any-month-surprise' is real.
We need to substitute eternal vigilance for cockiness.
As the former BOY Scouts' motto says, 'be prepared'.
Other cliches' to always keep in mind:
'It ain't over 'till the fat lady sings.'
'Don't count your chickens before they hatch.'
Anyone who understands the basics of US politics could tell you, just looking at the map for 2018 that the Republicans are going to gain 6+ seats easily, and odds are that they gain more.
The house is where the R’s are in trouble, at present D enthusiasm and poor messaging and incompetence by the republicans, a lot of pink and purple districts will go blue... the D’s should win the house, but there is ZERO chance then will take the senate.
As far as the House of Rep goes, the more popular Trump gets from his successes, the more he should hew to the current line that If House of Rep goes Dem they will spend all their time trying to impeach him. It hits a responsive chord nationally.It is all about voter turnout and that line should generate much incentive for Republicans to vote.
The Democrats will crank up their vote fraud efforts to "eleventy" in every marginal district where they have any presence at all. And it is very late to implement reliable counter-measures like voter ID and purges of the voter rolls.
And counties with Democrat election supervisors will continue to show 110% turnouts of "voters", unless they are under constant scrutiny at every stage of ballot collection and counting.
There simply must be enough Republican and Independent turnout to overcome 5 points of fraud from the Democrats.
This mid-term election is for "all the marbles".