Posted on 02/29/2020 12:31:41 PM PST by SeekAndFind
That seems to be the issue with the virus. It seems to cause sever respiratory problems in some people who may have pre-existing conditions or for some reason are more susceptible.
Wash your hands. Avoid crowds. Avoid people who have traveled to infected regions. Stay away from people who look sick and are coughing. Don't touch your eyes, nose, and mouth without washing your hands first.
The same basic cold and flu precautions will keep most people safe.
I just came across something disturbing about the virus. Once you get it, you have it for life and it mutates. It affects your lungs and organs. When you recover, it mutates again and comes back worse. I’ve heard this twice now. Someone please debunk this. I heard it from two different people, but am trying to find a document.
DannyTN wrote: “Because it’s 20 times deadlier that the flu and there is a chance to stop it or slow it down.”
Or, maybe not. We only have Chinese data. We know it disproportionately affects males, the elderly and smokers. Almost 50% of chinese males smoke. China has no real idea how many are infected. They’re making their data up.
Wisdom comes with age BRILLIANT!!! We have been through damn near 4 years of hysteria and I think we are ALL just sick to death of it all!! The MSM just makes me SICK!!! These bastards should be ashamed of themselves, however I am going to be SO HAPPY when once again these LYING BASTARDS have egg on their faces!!!With every damn crisis they exaggerate their credibility becomes less and less to the public!!!
STOP believing CRAP there is not one medical professional that has stated this!!!
What I fear are the disruptions to supplies and everyday life.
Panic buying will be the norm when clusters of cases break out in any area of the country.
Fox News and Fox Business are just as guilty as the rest of the media in trying to panic the hell out of people(and the markets).
Thanks! I needed that slap in the face (and I hope you’re right). :)
Tony Fauci flat out stated there is zero evidence to support that.
There was another man interviewed on Fox today with just one more day left in quarantine. He sounded very pro-Trump and it seemed he was pissed about the way Trump is being treated by the press.
Thank you! :)
Like the beautiful young Russian girl that’s going to come here to marry me as soon as she gets the visa thing cleared up?
This is an irresponsible statement. The death rate cannot be calculated because the true N of cases is not know. On a series of 68 cases when talking of a known (at least recorded) 80,000 + cases suggests that this subseries is insufficiently powered to make comment on true rate.
So this is fear mongering. In order to truly understand the statistics consider the following:
Population of Wuhan Provence = 11.9 MILLION
Total Cases in Wuhan Province = 79,251 Cases
Population Incidence - 0.6%
Population Death Rate - 0.02%
The problem is that people (apparently you included) are reporting death rate on confirmed cases. As a physician if I see the second case of influenza in my critical care unit and he or she dies is the death rate in fact 50%? This is the argument you are using.
The fact of the matter is N of cases reported is a subset of the true number of cases. As such these are absolute worse case scenarios. In a population center of 11 million people, a virus that achieves on 0.6% incidence is by definition not all that virulent. So the real question is what is the true story of this?
I respectfully submit that while we should always prepare for outbreaks, this outbreak is being sensationalized. Further, every 7 - 8 years influenza undergoes a genetic shift (Avian, H1N1, Swine are the last three) which causes a world wide pandemic. Is this a genetic shift of seasonal corona virus (SARS - MERS - CoVID 19) It appears to follow a similar timeline.
Prepare, don’t panic. And thank God you live in the American Health care system which is still the very best in the world
There’s a helluva lot of statistical data documenting flu mortality because that class of viruses has been around and studied for many, many years.
The new one has been around only for a few months, and it’s not yet known how many cases haven’t been reported because the symptoms were not serious enough for the victim to seek medical care, or there were no symptoms at all.
So, it’s impossible at this point to say with any certainty what the death rate for this one will eventually turn out to be.
Thanks for trying to inject reality here.
We don't accept 2% chances of death in the near future happily, because add up a number of those are you are dead in the next 6 months. Most of us would like to live a full life and reach a respectable age before we move on.
The US number of 1.5% reflects a health care system that is not overwhelmed. If the system gets overwhelmed, rates will go up.
Which is why I post, I want to see them do whatever is necessary to stop the spread in the US. Greater Travel restrictions, more quarantines, better enforcement of quarantines, more testing, better testing, etc.
The only prescription is More Cowbell!
And did the two sources get it from the same source? Two separate sources repeating the same misinformed source are not two separate sources.
As has been explained ad nauseum, the flu is widespread. That stat has no bearing on this issue.
But you are playing awfully fast and loose with the statistics. Your analysis is based on insufficiently powered subset of the total to draw distinction.
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