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To: Harmless Teddy Bear
Ok lets look at it this way. Who do you want with you and who don't you want with you in the final two.

Butch

Just about anyone else with the exception of Matt would draw fewer votes in the final. For that reason, unless Butch wins immunity he is most likely to go. The 3 snakes, Jenna, Heidi, and Rob have the majority and have double crossed so many it will come down to the winner being the least disliked and most crafty.

Jenna

Jenna is in deep doo doo and she knows it. There is almost no way she could win at this point. Unless she can flip over one of her previous votes in the jury. Alex might vote for her. Christy will never vote for her and I doubt Deena will have nice things to say, especially after Christy tells all to the jury. There is implied tension between her and Heidi in the next episode, likely because in a head to head, Heidi stands a better chance to win than Jenna in the final two IMO. All that being said, Jenna does not want to be in the final two or three with Matt, Butch or Heidi. Potentially Rob is more disliked than her at this point.

Heidi

Heidi could sneak in to the final two if she wins an immunity at say final 4 or 3. Christy is hopping mad at Heidi and would not mind being in the final two with Jenna or Rob although I don't think she trust either at this point. Jenna giving her immunity last episode is the end of their alliance. However I wonder if Jenna would still vote for Heidi if she votes Jenna out. Heidi can't win against Matt and it will be close with Butch.

Matt

Clearly Matt is the strongest and if he gets to the final 3 will win the physical challenge. Matt is unsure at this point what to think of Rob, he trusts Butch and I suspect him and butch have some sort of an alliance although it has not been shown. We know Rob has the ear of Matt since Matt voted out Christy. Matt also must know that Christy would still vote for him over Rob, Jenna and Heidi. It's possible Matt would like to see Butch go if he could get him out without making an enemy of Butch. Matt would like to be in the final two with Rob, but Rob must get rid of Matt before the final 3. Immunity is crucial for Matt in the next two episodes because Rob is about to stab him in the back. Does Matt really trust Rob now?

Rob

Oh Rob. You have done some very bad things. Rob knows hot to get to the end, but we will see if his strategy of screwing over everyone will be the kiss of death. As Rob pointed out to Jenna, he would like to be in the final two with her because she is almost as disliked as he is. Rob has not thought out that by lying to Matt and then dumping him before the final 3(clearly his plan), he will not get matt's vote. He also won't get Alex or christy's vote. All it takes is one more vote and Rob has no chance for the million. We might see rob switch gears one more time and radically shift alliances to try to sqeak out that extra vote, if he makes it that far. Rob may try to break up the Jenna Heidi alliance by zapping Heidi.


Here's where it gets interesting folks.

Predictions:
If Butch wins immunity: Butch escapes certain death and Rob becomes the target of Jenna, Heidi and Butch.

If Heidi wins immunity: Jenna Heidi Butch vote out Rob

If Jenna wins immunity: Jenna Heidi Matt and Rob vote out Butch

If Matt wins immunity: Butch Matt and Rob vote out Heidi

If Rob wins immunity: Jenna Heidi Matt and Rob vote out Butch...or the more interesting and strategic if organized by Rob....Matt Rob Butch vote out Heidi.
542 posted on 05/08/2003 7:18:28 AM PDT by finnman69 (!)
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To: finnman69
I think that if I were Rob and wanted to be in the final two I would have to break up the duo. If he makes it to final 3 with Heidi and Jenna he is toast.

This is his last chance to do that. Heidi must go. If she doesn't likely it will be Rob and the Bobbsy Twins in the final three. Heidi and Jenna would gang up on Rob at that point. (I have an sick feeling that Rob would enjoy that)

549 posted on 05/08/2003 3:32:21 PM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (Somebody should have labeled the future "Some assembly required.")
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To: finnman69
If Matt wins immunity: Butch Matt and Rob vote out Heidi

You called it. Very nice!

558 posted on 05/08/2003 6:00:20 PM PDT by Harmless Teddy Bear (Somebody should have labeled the future "Some assembly required.")
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