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Bill Clinton won New Jersey by only 80,000 votes in 1992. Gore’s 500,000 vote margin went down to 250,000 for Kerry, one of the biggest percentage swings in the country, and we can thank the 9/11 effect.

What about the Swing from 80,000 - 500,000? If 9/11 didn't draw us back into the 80,000 vote range - still a loss for the GOP - Why would it be different now after 4 years of Media pounding on the 'disasterous GOP run Iraq war'?

I don't buy it. I still believe that NJ will be Dem voting state until the issue of Voter Fraud is addressed. As it stands now the GOP would have to win by 500,000 votes to WIN at all.

Regards,

If 9/11 didn't draw us back into the 80,000 vote range - still a loss for the GOP - Why would it be different now after 4 years of Media pounding on the 'disasterous GOP run Iraq war'?

Because George W. Bush is the kind of Republican who does not appeal to voters in N.J. George H.W. Bush did better, and a northern Republican would do even better than that. You could not have cast a worse candidate to win in N.J. as a Republican in 2000 than an evangelical governor of Texas. Remember, the environment plays differently up there.