Where was it at this point in the last election cycle?
I don’t know.
The polls at this time October 4, 2004 from CNN (not that I trust them):
“The poll showed Kerry and Bush tied at 49 percent each among likely voters interviewed. Among registered voters Bush had 49 percent and Kerry 47 percent. Independent candidate Ralph Nader was favored by 1 percent in each group.
The margin of error in each case was plus or minus 4 percentage points.
By contrast, Bush was ahead of Kerry among likely voters 52 percent to 44 percent in the Gallup poll conducted September 24-26.
Among registered voters in that poll, the spread was 53 percent for Bush and 42 percent for Kerry. Nader had 3 percent among each group.”
The polls on Sept. 24, 2000 Bush and Gore: tied neck and neck. Bush a 1% advantage.