Early Voting Data? (vanity?)

[rom]

Okay, I’m sorry — it just fits the MO of concern trolls. The difference between you and I is that I posted good news about internal panic from Obama emails.

You posted something that was a downer.

So, my trolldar was off this one time. I’ll tweak it. ;)

[wrhssaxensemble]

I know... I probably should have thought more about it before I posted... I was just freaked out by the remote possibility those numbers might be accurate. Luckily, it seems they are not.

[wrhssaxensemble]

Thanks. Thats true. I am just kinda all over the place lately because I feel like McCain is going to win but am not always 100% sure how much of that is based on the truth of what is going on, or how much is based on my own personal desire he wins. So I am trying to find the most positive numbers and the most negative and try to make sense of them.

[zwerni]

anyone know which of the closer battleground states have early voting?

[Bubba_Leroy]

As of Monday, more registered Democrats than Republicans had cast ballots in the 26 early voting states where election statistics are available. Of 7.5 million voters who are registered by party in nine reporting states, Democratic voters outnumber GOP voters 57.3 percent to 42.7 percent.

Because these are statistics and not results, it's unknown which candidates the voters supported. Voters who register with political parties don't always vote for their party's candidates.

http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/11/03/early.voting/index.html?iref=mpstoryview

This may actually be good news for our side. All of polls of voters who have already voted show Obama in the lead, but none have shown a fraction (5 or 6 points) of the 15 point difference between Democrat/Republican registered voters who have voted. In other words, 57% of the voters who have voted so far are registered Democrats, but only 51 or 52% of the voters who have voted so far are telling pollsters that they voted for Obama.

What this means is that a significant percentage of registered Democrats are voting for McCain.

The polls of voters who have not yet voted and intend to vote on election day show McCain in the lead.

[wrhssaxensemble]

and of course the PUMAs are registered Dems and answering polls as obama supporters... what scares me is how many people on facebook claim to be voting for obama vs. voting for mccain... but then again, that could be because it is still largely a college person networking system (the way it was when i joined when it first started)

[wrhssaxensemble]

and of course the PUMAs are registered Dems and answering polls as obama supporters... what scares me is how many people on facebook claim to be voting for obama vs. voting for mccain... but then again, that could be because it is still largely a college person networking system (the way it was when i joined when it first started)