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What will conservatism mean in 2010 and 2012? (Vanity)
Vanity | 11/18/2008 | Wasted Potential

Posted on 11/17/2008 10:22:05 PM PST by wastedpotential

This is a ramble from a guy working a night shift that is not used to doing so, but I wanted to vent my spleen ........

It saddens me to admit this, but I can safely say that conservatism was defeated in 2008. It was defeated so soundly, that it never even made it to many ballots to even be voted on in November. At the presidential level, it was defeated in February. "Social" and "populist" conservatives lined up behind Mike Huckabee, while "fiscal" conservatives lined up behind Mitt Romney, opening the door for "non" conservatives and RINOs to nominate McCain. I now see these two sides battling for supremacy in the party to define the agenda and its candidates.

Despite efforts to rally behind McCain and Sarah Palin, there remains a genuine rift among self described "conservatives" today. One side views populist themes, not always thought to be "conservative" in the historical sense, as the key to future successes. Mike Huckabee represents this group most, but Sarah Palin does as well. This is not an "intellectual" conservatism, but more of an emotional conservatism. Huckabee went to union events during the primary, an act of sacrilege to many of the right and even played up a little class warfare ("Wouldn't you rather vote for the guy who reminds you of who work with, and not the guy who laid you off?"). Those in this camp tend to view the social or cultural agenda to be most important, and find fiscal conservatism at times to be distasteful on issues like global warming, welfare reform and pure capitalism.

The other side seems to believe that only pure, unfettered capitalism is "conservative" and will sacrifice social and cultural issues on this altar if required to do so. Conservatism is more of an ideology than it is about a way of life. Libertarians find this definition of conservatism much more palatable. Mitt Romney and Rudy Guiliani were classical representatives of this group. They ignore or downplay the social issues, or even take an opposing view, but they will be pure to the religion of limited government, tax cuts and free trade. The Club For Growth mercilessly attacked Huckabee during the primaries as a fiscal liberal who could not be trusted. Strikingly, Mitt Romney, who had championed state run health care in Massachussetts and been a past supporter of gay rights and abortion rights, received little to no criticism from this group.

(To state the obvious - McCain lacked any credentials on fiscal policy and found talking about populist or social issues distasteful, hence his crusing defeat to a marxist.)

Now of course, there are many of us who like both positions and see no contradiction between the two. Reagan was able to make these groups come together in the 1980s, and it led to huge gains in the 90s for Republicans in the house and Senate. Bush was able to cobble them together in 2000 and 2004, and put together even larger gains at the beginning, but now that coalition has disintegrated.

I can tell you this much - democrats, particularly those in the south, have seized on an opening that this rift presents them. That is the combination of cultural conservative candidates with populist or even socialistic economic leanings. This is a very popular combination and is kind of the "compassionate conservative" model that Karl Rove made so popular. Republicans can still point to democratic leadership as liberal, but many of these candidates are themselves more conservative than many Republicans we are fighting so hard for nowadays (McCain, Coleman, etc ....).

So what will we be going forward? The army of evangelicals who want to protect their way of life through cultural conservatism or the ideological free trade libertarians who want to reduce government spending and stay out of the culture wars? Any thoughts?


TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: conservatism; republicans
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1 posted on 11/17/2008 10:22:05 PM PST by wastedpotential
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To: wastedpotential

What’s with the “social conservatives” vs. “fiscal conservative” thing everyone in the media is spouting?
It IS possible to be socially and fiscally conservative. Take for example, um, hmmmmmmm....REAGAN.

Actually most people who are Conservative ARE both.


2 posted on 11/17/2008 10:26:02 PM PST by SMCC1
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To: wastedpotential

What’s with the “social conservatives” vs. “fiscal conservative” thing everyone in the media is spouting?
It IS possible to be socially and fiscally conservative. Take for example, um, hmmmmmmm....REAGAN.

Actually most people who are Conservative ARE both.


3 posted on 11/17/2008 10:26:02 PM PST by SMCC1
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To: SMCC1

If you read my entire post, I agree with you that there are many of us that are both. The point I am making though is that we were split in the primary - which is the only reason McCain was our nominee this year.


4 posted on 11/17/2008 10:28:27 PM PST by wastedpotential (McCain always said I was an agent of intolerance, but we were the ones who tolerated him most)
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To: wastedpotential
"Social" and "populist" conservatives lined up behind Mike Huckabee, while "fiscal" conservatives lined up behind Mitt Romney, opening the door for "non" conservatives and RINOs to nominate McCain.

Not quite. McCain had the defense conservatives, had the older Republican vote (using the "It's his turn" reasoning that gave us Bob Dole), and had Democrats crossing over in primaries to vote for him. It was a perfect storm: the conservative vote simultaneously split among as many as four candidates while the Democrats cheated to get McCain.
5 posted on 11/17/2008 10:29:16 PM PST by Terpfen (Ain't over yet, folks. Those 2004 Senate gains are up for grabs in 2 years.)
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To: wastedpotential
Libertarians find this definition of conservatism much more palatable. Mitt Romney and Rudy Guiliani were classical representatives of this group. They ignore or downplay the social issues, or even take an opposing view, but they will be pure to the religion of limited government, tax cuts and free trade.

LMAO. Okay, whatever you say.
6 posted on 11/17/2008 10:30:04 PM PST by randomhero97 ("First you want to kill me, now you want to kiss me. Blow!" - Ash)
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To: SMCC1

Are you aware of the concept of the GOP as a three legged stool? It comes from Reagan. Social conservatives, fiscal conservatives, defense conservatives: find a candidate who can get the support of all three groups and he’ll win.

This is a description of the Republican base, not a description of the candidates the party puts forth. Reagan had all three legs.


7 posted on 11/17/2008 10:30:38 PM PST by Terpfen (Ain't over yet, folks. Those 2004 Senate gains are up for grabs in 2 years.)
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To: randomhero97

Look - I know people who would vote for a pro-life marxist, and I also know people who would vote for a tax cutting, pro-abortion candidate. Do you disagree that there are people on both sides that will sacrifice the one side of conservatism to have what they care about most?


8 posted on 11/17/2008 10:32:48 PM PST by wastedpotential (McCain always said I was an agent of intolerance, but we were the ones who tolerated him most)
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To: wastedpotential

It’s both social and fiscal. Our problem is Washington money and lack of voice. Voice is possible through leadership, coordination, and marketing.

According to this, we lost because the media covered up everything on Obama: http://www.howobamagotelected.com/


9 posted on 11/17/2008 10:33:32 PM PST by AmericanGirlRising (The cow is in the ditch. We know how it got there. Now help me get it out!)
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To: SMCC1
It IS possible to be socially and fiscally conservative. Take for example, um, hmmmmmmm....REAGAN.

If Reagan's budget-ballooning and deficit-exploding was "fiscal conservatism," no wonder Bush has followed in his footsteps.

10 posted on 11/17/2008 10:37:54 PM PST by Darkwolf377 (1-22-13)
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To: AmericanGirlRising

We lost before the general election ever began. McCain was not a conservative.


11 posted on 11/17/2008 10:38:48 PM PST by wastedpotential (McCain always said I was an agent of intolerance, but we were the ones who tolerated him most)
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To: Darkwolf377

Point taken. Which begs the question who was the last fiscally conservative president?


12 posted on 11/17/2008 10:39:44 PM PST by SMCC1
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To: Terpfen
This is a description of the Republican base, not a description of the candidates the party puts forth.

It's a description of a conservative.

13 posted on 11/17/2008 10:40:12 PM PST by xjcsa (And these three remain: change, hope and government. But the greatest of these is government.)
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To: wastedpotential

No I don’t disagree with that take. What I disagree with was the bolded statement in my post about Guilinani and Romney.


14 posted on 11/17/2008 10:41:10 PM PST by randomhero97 ("First you want to kill me, now you want to kiss me. Blow!" - Ash)
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To: SMCC1
That's a good question. Reagan did as good a job as anyone could do, though his needed building-up of the military wasn't the only reason for the expansion of the deficit. Nixon was much worse (and Carter--that goes without saying).

This covers as far back as Kennedy:

http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=879

I dunno--we'd probably have to go back before FDR to find an example.

15 posted on 11/17/2008 10:41:43 PM PST by Darkwolf377 (1-22-13)
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To: Terpfen

The third leg, defense, is the one that McCain championed, but with the unpopularity (and recent successes) of the Iraq war, this leg currently is not one that any Republican wants to stand on. The Cold War and the War on Terrorism are not the same animal (look at Ron Paul’s fund raising and 7-8% of the Republican vote).


16 posted on 11/17/2008 10:42:09 PM PST by wastedpotential (McCain always said I was an agent of intolerance, but we were the ones who tolerated him most)
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To: randomhero97

We will disagree then. I think there are many conservatives who find the cultural conservatism distasteful and would gladly cut bait with that crowd if they thought they could win without them.


17 posted on 11/17/2008 10:43:39 PM PST by wastedpotential (McCain always said I was an agent of intolerance, but we were the ones who tolerated him most)
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To: SMCC1

“Which begs the question who was the last fiscally conservative president?”

Hoover :)


18 posted on 11/17/2008 10:45:02 PM PST by wastedpotential (McCain always said I was an agent of intolerance, but we were the ones who tolerated him most)
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To: wastedpotential; bamahead; traviskicks; roamer_1; fieldmarshaldj
The other side seems to believe that only pure, unfettered capitalism is "conservative" and will sacrifice social and cultural issues on this altar if required to do so. Conservatism is more of an ideology than it is about a way of life. Libertarians find this definition of conservatism much more palatable. Mitt Romney and Rudy Guiliani were classical representatives of this group.

What sort of crack are you smoking? Romney and Giuliani are both Big Government RINOs, and as "fiscal conservative" I can support neither.

19 posted on 11/17/2008 10:45:48 PM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" --Patrick Henry)
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To: wastedpotential; SMCC1
“Which begs the question who was the last fiscally conservative president?”

Hoover :)

Coolidge

20 posted on 11/17/2008 10:46:27 PM PST by rabscuttle385 ("If this be treason, then make the most of it!" --Patrick Henry)
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