If you read this article, it turns out this guy don’t really know nothin’ ‘bout this particular situation. It’s full of caveats and “maybe”s.
I am not saying he may not be correct. But he doesn’t really have any definite information, just speculation.
This is the way technical professionals speak. The most telling fact is that they attempted a test burn 7 days after the spill began, and it was stated that by then the winds had shifted so that the smoke plume would go towards shore.. but honesly.. Oil Plume or Smoke Plume.. which would you pick?
This is as definitive as a guy like this is going to be. It is backed up by another post here where the first day NOAA is already attempting to respond, but nothing happened for more than a week. Why?