Posted on 10/21/2010 9:16:45 AM PDT by freespirited
Florida Democrats had been proudly touting the fact that they were doing better in absentee voting requests then they had in 2006, but the Republican Party of Florida has its own stats that could spell doom for every Democrat on a statewide ballot this year.
RPOF says that, for the first time ever, they've won the first two days of early voting. And compared to 2008 (the year of Obama, when Dems outperformed Reps), Republicans are doing far better in absentee voting requests and returns. If true and the trend continues, Democrats have a dim future. Maybe governor candidate Alex Sink could squeak by Republican Rick Scott, in large part because she'd not running as a Democrat and she's at times running away from President Obama. But the numbers suggest the Obama millstone will weigh her down as the red wave swamps Florida.
From RPOF:
Requested absentee ballots: Republicans lead by 228,930 – a 13.21% lead over Democrats. In 2008, Republicans had an 8.89% lead by Election Day. Then, President Obama only won by 2.8 percentage points after a massive ad blitz.
Voted absentee ballots: Republicans lead by 112,534 absentee votes – a 21.88% lead. In 2008, Republicans had a 10.8% lead on Election Day.
Early Voted: Republicans lead by 15,281 votes – a 11.32% lead (Monday and Tuesday). In 2008, Republicans were losing by 73,384 votes at this point in 2008. By Election Day, Republicans had lost the Early Vote by 23.97%.
"We don’t expect to win early voting, but any lead at all is shocking at this point and a testament to the incredible enthusiasm amongst Republicans," RPOF spokesman Dan Conston said.
Lepanto PING
NO CHICKEN COUNTING!! We have to continue to get the word out as if we are 20 points down. Complacency is deadly.
If the “after vote” we need to beat them to!
We’re too mad to take anything for granted.
Amen. They screw with this election and we’ll see the growing anger turn to rage on every media outlets. It’s not so much 11/2 that concerns me, but what happens on 11/3.
They are going to try, better count on it. Expect anything and be prepared for everything.
sounds encouraging, but this writer is arithmetically incompetent
he’s comparing percentage differences in numbers of absentee ballots requested with percentage differences of the overall final vote
very different animals
it’s easily possible to dominate the numbers in absentee balloting and lose the overall vote
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.