When Will We Have Artificial Intelligence?

High Level Logic (HLL) Open Source Project ^ | November 13, 2010 | Roger F. Gay

[MCH]

We already have artificial intelligence. They’re the self-anointed “American intellectual elite” that populate our universities and press-rooms. I think the algorithms need a LOT more work.

[Michael Barnes]

I think AI will be achieved when we better master VM’s. From my readings, AI in a single host will consist of multiple VM’s operating on specific functions communicating across a high speed interconnect. As of today, that hardware does exist but is LARGE; not to mention the interconnects and virtual hardware is slow in comparison of what will be needed. There’s also the problem with digital vs. analog and the programming for one to emulate the other; but that’s a WHOLE ‘nother conversation.

[MCH]

After they DO indeed develop AI, how long will it be before we see ‘Artificial Stupidity’?

No need for this, since there's no shortage of natural stupidity and more than enough to go around. Besides, the fastest way of achieving such a technological breakthrough given today's technology would be to clone a Democrat, and we certainly don't need that.

[RogerFGay]

Well, depends on what you mean by AI. I’d certainly like HLL running on that kind of hardware - just to speed things up. Of course, the time to start programming in HLL is now, so that the “expert” functionality is developed as hardware continues in that direction. In the mean time, small steps Ellie. There are plenty of great apps that can be developed before the structure of hardware evolves into something more like a human brain. Actually though, sometimes the computer “brain” people who make projections about AI based solely on projections of developments in hardware tick me off a bit. OK, so Lotus 1,2,3 is gonna run faster?

[rbg81]

There was a scientist who was asked, “Will there ever be a computer as intelligent as a human?” He answered, “Yes, but only for a few moments”.

---

You can interpret that in two ways:
1. That humans will immediately unplug a computer as intelligent as they are.
2. Computers will quickly surpass humans in intelligence (once they finally catch up).

A few smart people (who should really know better) seems to think true AI will just happen if we build a sufficiently powerful computer to rival the complexity of the human brain. I disagree. The brain has some complex software which may take us centuries to understand and replicate. It will be a very slow, incremental process.

Way before that happens though, we will probably figure out ways to augment our own intelligence with external processing power with a brain-computer interface (interface device and WIFI chip in your brain). Picture doing a Google type search in your head (e.g., request and results). Or uploading a video to YouTube using your eyes as a camera. Or comunicating with Facebook friends in your head. It will resemble telepathy.

Ironically, the Star Trek Borg may be a good model for where we’ll eventually be.

[BuckeyeTexan]

And how sad is that? I have zero respect for the POTUS. I work really hard to teach my children to be respectful. They’re required to say “Yes, sir” and “No, sir” and are not allowed to address adults by their first names. (I detest the trendy “Miss Jane/Mister John” form of address that kids use today.) I really struggle to contain my utter contempt for the putz in front of them.

[BuckeyeTexan]

And how sad is that? I have zero respect for the POTUS. I work really hard to teach my children to be respectful. They’re required to say “Yes, sir” and “No, sir” and are not allowed to address adults by their first names. (I detest the trendy “Miss Jane/Mister John” form of address that kids use today.) I really struggle to contain my utter contempt for the putz in front of them.

[DUMBGRUNT]

Can it be made to work with binary logic and in anything close to real time?

[BuckeyeTexan]

The Turing test is a test of a machine's ability to demonstrate intelligence. It proceeds as follows: a human judge engages in a natural language conversation with one human and one machine, each of which tries to appear human. All participants are placed in solated locations. If the judge cannot reliably tell the machine from the human, the machine is said to have passed the test. In order to test the machine's intelligence rather than its ability to render words into audio, the conversation is limited to a text-only channel such as a computer keyboard and screen. only channel such as a computer keyboard and screen.

"Tries to appear human" - that's appropriate, huh?

[RogerFGay]

There’s a third way to interpret the statement. After a few seconds, a human will become distracted by thoughts of sex. The computer of course, will continue its goal-directed focus, accomplishing a lot more than humans do. That’s one of the things that’s discussed in the alternative view article posted at the bottom of the original blog article. (Added it recently.)

[RogerFGay]

Precisely. It will not be “AI” until the computer is “self-aware” and self-programming.

They already are - artificially. "Genetic programming" is currently the most advanced machine learning technique that automatically programs itself and modifies its code to maintain and adapt. I haven't used that yet, but already I'm into automatically generating programs on the fly. Artificial awareness is something built into our learning robotics system - unless you also want do add a true emotional requirement. If the latter, then I don't think you're talking about "artificial" intelligence anymore. Artificial intelligence is more like Bender on Futurama. "As a robot, I don't have emotions, and sometimes that makes me sad."

[RogerFGay]

It’s been almost 15 years since I wrote my first program that wrote programs for commercial use.

[Secret Agent Man]

When will we have real intelligence?

[MasterGunner01]

Idea: We do an AI dump into the RINO Republican’s brain housing groups — effectively turning them in to conservative “Stepford Wives.”