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R.I.P, Homo Economicus: On the End of Ubiquitous Poverty and the Beginning of Universal Abundance
Zero Hedge ^ | 11/24/2010 20:42 -0500 | Free Radical

Posted on 11/25/2010 5:38:03 AM PST by frithguild

“I draw the conclusion that, assuming no important wars and no important increase in population, the economic problem may be solved, or be at least within sight of solution, within a hundred years. This means that the economic problem is not – if we look into the future – the permanent problem of the human race.” – John Maynard Keynes, Economic Possibilities for Our Grandchildren, 1930, [author’s emphasis]

There have of course been some “important” wars (though in truth they were, and remain, mere installments in a Long War that is by no means over). And there has of course been an “important” increase in population (the abreaction, for the most part, of the premodern underbrush that was uprooted amid the modern nation-state’s relentless campaign of unification, centralization, and consolidation). But let us give Keynes his due for imagining a time, in the not-too-distant future, when “the economic problem” – which is to say, the scarcity that impels all economic endeavor – will at long last have been solved, and universal abundance is at hand. Let us do so, however, with no illusions about who the man was, fully acknowledging that he was “a charming but power-driven statist Machiavelli, who embodied some of the most malevolent trends and institutions of the twentieth century” – so malevolent, in fact, that one is left to wonder what Keynes might have had to do with the fact that, eighty years later, a solution to “the economic problem” seems more out of reach than ever.

After all, standardizing for population growth since 2005, the chart below would now indicate that fully 5.5 billion people live on less than ten dollars a day, while nearly a billion live on less than a dollar a day:

And while America’s poor appear to be quite well off by world standards, the fact is that they now represent nearly 14% of the U.S. population and that their numbers are skyrocketing, as the real unemployment rate surges toward 25%:

And not surprisingly, food stamp use is also skyrocketing:

Which is to say that Americans in general are an ugly mix of Stanley Johnsons so buried in debt that their toys have either already been taken from them or soon will be, their spending now in freefall, as it returns to its historically sustainable level (after, in all likelihood, overshooting it):

All of this happening as income inequality rises to extremes not seen since 1929:

But this was to be expected, after all, as the fascism inherent in the U.S. banking system reaches its apotheosis in the privatization of profits and socialization of losses, such profiteering, regardless of how it manifests itself, being standard operating proce-dure for the state. For while it “is almost universally considered an institution of social service,” the state is really nothing more than “the systematization of the predatory pro-cess over a given territory.” Why? Because

… the state cannot even exist without committing the crimes of extortion and robbery, which states call taxation; and as a rule, this existential state crime is but the merest beginning of its assaults on the lives, liberties, and property of its resident population.

And simply put, these assaults – whether perpetrated by the U.S. fascialist state or variations upon this theme elsewhere around the world – have so impoverished the masses (why else would they be the masses?) that to contemplate an imminent solution to “the economic problem” admittedly seems absurd.

Nonetheless, let us return to Keynes meditation thereon and, in particular, to his ob-servation that the historically “slow rate of progress, or lack of progress, was due to two reasons – to the remarkable absence of important technical improvements and to the failure of capital to accumulate.” For surely this is so, not just because the state’s “predatory process,” century after century, has so hampered capital accumulation as to stunt technological advance but because, in the last century, the state’s predations were fully systematized. And they were systematized in no small part because of Keynes’ absurd belief that “there are no intrinsic reasons for the scarcity of capital.” For just as there is not (there never was, nor will there ever be) any genuine capital accumulation that is not the result of savings – specifically, the saving of productive work of one form or another – so is there an inherent limit to capital. And as savings are nothing other than deferred consumption, it is clear that one cannot simultaneously consume that which one defers the consumption of, which is to say, one cannot have one’s cake and eat it too.

This is precisely what Keynesianism attempts to do, however, facilitated by the attendant notion that money is not a good used as a medium exchange but simply a medium of exchange that, being irredeemable for any good, can accordingly be generated without limit. No wonder, then, that with both capital and money thus unhinged from economic reality, governments, in thrall to this alchemical fantasy – would systematically plunder their countries’ economies to the point of grinding them to a halt:

A major part of the growth in the last 100 years and especially in the last 40 years has been built on an unsustainable build-up of debt levels. These debt levels will continue to swell for another few years until the coming hyperinflation in the West leads to a destruction of real asset values and a debt implosion.

We have hell to pay for the sins of Keynesianism, in other words, the only question being what level of hell we descend to. And as this is largely a function of how long the journey takes, it is in turn a function of how “successful” governments’ extend and pretend policies are, meaning that the longer they delay the onset of economic reality, the deeper into hell we will descend.

So again, under the circumstances – that is, given governments’ unremitting deter-mination to exacerbate the devastation that their Keynesian folly has already caused – how can we even contemplate a solution to “the economic problem,” much less postulate an imminent solution?

We begin by considering what our lives would be like if we hadn’t been subjected not only Keynesianism but to its indispensable precondition – that is, if we had lived all this time within the liberating confines of sound money, which by definition has two complementary and vitally important aspects: (1) “It is affirmative in approving the mar-ket's choice of a commonly used medium of exchange,” and (2) “It is negative in ob-structing the government's propensity to meddle with the currency system.” And since gold has manifested these two aspects for over five thousand years, we assert without equivocation that a sound monetary system is a 100-percent-reserve gold standard that accordingly “secure[s] the economic system against the evils both of inflation and of de-flation/depression.”

And let us also assert that however beneficial this twofold security would be, such a monetary system would do much more than that. For “the typically modest increase in the quantity of money and volume of aggregate spending that takes place under a gold standard is accompanied by actually falling prices [author’s emphasis],” the greater production and supply of a good (or service) being a result of the greater efficiency that is expressed as Total productivity = Output quality and quantity / Input quality and quantity. That is to say, as input quality rises and input quantity falls, both output quality and quantity rise, resulting in the increased productivity that is reflected in the ability to offer the same product (or service) for less or, alternatively, a better product (or service) for the same price.

And we have of course been experiencing this very phenomenon for many decades now, as the cost of computing power has fallen precipitously, the industry’s productivity increasing in accordance with what has come to be known as Moore’s Law:

The computer/electronics industry, in other words, has accomplished what the rest of the economy has not – i.e., an increase in productivity sufficient to offset government-induced inflation – the point being that in a truly sound-money economy, the gain in purchasing power would be across-the-board. That is, increased productivity would result, over time and in all sectors of the economy, in falling prices that would not be deflationary for the simple reason that they would not be the result of a monetary contraction, the difference between the two being all the difference:

What this means is not only that in a sound-money economy, prices would fall as productivity rises; it also means that in an increasingly computer-driven, nano-technological, sound-money economy – where computing power rises as machine size falls – productivity would grow exponentially, not only driving prices down at a similar rate but ultimately driving them to the vanishing point , which is to say, to zero. For example:

We are awash in energy (10,000 times more than required to meet all our needs falls on Earth) but we are not very good at capturing it. That will change with the full nanotechnology-based assembly of macro objects at the nano scale, controlled by massively parallel information processes, which will be feasible within twenty years. Even though our energy needs are projected to triple within that time, we’ll capture that .0003 of the sunlight needed to meet our energy needs with no use of fossil fuels, using extremely inexpensive, highly efficient, lightweight, nano-engineered solar panels, and we’ll store the energy in highly distributed (and therefore safe) nanotechnology-based fuel cells. Solar power is now providing 1 part in 1,000 of our needs, but that percentage is doubling every two years, which means multiplying by 1,000 in twenty years.

Let’s say that by “extremely inexpensive,” we’re talking about the solar equivalent of dollar-a-gallon gasoline in 2030. We are then talking about a less than one-cent-gallon equivalent seven doublings later and less than a tenth of a cent three doublings after that, meaning that by 2050 the world’s energy needs would be met at virtually no cost. And simply put, to apply this same logic to the economy as a whole is to understand how “the economic problem” stands to be solved and how universal abundance therefore stands to be achieved. Not eons from now, not millennia, not centuries, but decades.

While Keynes had only a faint notion of this hyper-productivity dynamic, we can at least give him his due for imagining that it wouldn’t be long before man would be “faced with his real, his permanent problem – how to use his freedom from pressing economic cares, how to occupy the leisure, which science and compound interest will have won for him, to live wisely and agreeably and well.” For that “science and compound interest” are nothing other than the exponential growth in technology that, aided and abetted by sound-money’s inherent price-reducing proclivity, do in fact have the power to free man “from pressing economic cares.”

Unfortunately, however, we must also give Keynes his due for helping to postpone that day, his contempt for what he perceived as a barbarous relic leading to FDR’s confiscation of the people’s gold in 1933 and thus the end of what remained of the gold standard in the United States (the world gold standard ending in the Nixon Shock of 1971). For with no further restraint on the international banking cartel, the full fury of the stealth tax would be loosed upon the world and vast swaths of its people (most notably the American people) sold into debt slavery, the supreme irony being that “the eco-nomic problem” could well have already been solved, had a sound monetary system been in place during the near-century that the cartel’s foremost member has held sway. For the pseudo-productivity of much of the U.S. economy would have been genuinely so, as would the rest of the world’s. And the wars that could not have otherwise been funded would not otherwise have been fought, nor would our socially debilitating welfare programs have had the wherewithal to entrench themselves, the combined depredations of which have sapped incalculable amounts of humanity’s time, talent, energy, and imagina-tion.

Even so, such is the ordinary man’s inborn ingenuity that despite those depreda-tions, he may yet find himself, in 2030, confronting the fact that “his real, his permanent problem” isn’t a problem at all. For what Keynes didn’t envision is that the ordinary man a century later, having decades before begun to internalize his machines, would be quite extraordinary, empowering himself to the point of not only boldly going where no man has gone before but of becoming what no man has ever been before. No longer having to struggle with the problems of tired old homo economicus, that is, a vibrant young homo abundus would be charting a course that would have been beyond his predecessor’s wild-est dreams.

But as those dreams may yet be shattered, we will postpone further examination of homo abundus until we’ve taken full measure of “the predatory process,” beginning with my next submission: “The Twin Pillars of Civilization.”


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government
KEYWORDS: goldstandard
An interesting appeal to the "Gap between the rich and poor is growing" crowd (Of which I am not one). It would be wonderful to increase the Eduardian gold standard political base.

This piece well states that, in good years, the Fed, which is facist in nature, confiscates you property at the rate of 2% per year - the rate of inflation. This is in addition to taxes. The gold standard utterly prevents this from happening.

1 posted on 11/25/2010 5:38:08 AM PST by frithguild
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To: frithguild
And simply put, these assaults – whether perpetrated by the U.S. fascialist state or variations upon this theme elsewhere around the world – have so impoverished the masses (why else would they be the masses?)

"Impoverished" implies a former state of greater wealth, which has been "taken away."

Making such statements betrays such a comprehensive ignorance of history that one hardly knows where to begin in discussing it.

More people have climbed out of absolute poverty worldwide in the last 20 years than in all previous human history. That's not "impoverishment," that's whatever the opposite is.

Yes, more people in the US are "in poverty," but this is largely due to a constantly changing definition of what poverty is. I'm talking long-term trends, excluding the recent financial problems, which have indeed led to an increase in genuine poverty.

Will the present mess lead to a disaster as so many are now predicting? It may, but this financial collapse has been predicted regularly by various types since the 70s, to my personal knowledge. To date they've all been wrong. Doesn't mean someone isn't right now, but past failed predictions certainly should be considered.

This piece well states that, in good years, the Fed, which is facist in nature, confiscates you property at the rate of 2% per year - the rate of inflation. This is in addition to taxes. The gold standard utterly prevents this from happening.

I suggest you are imbibing an equivalent to what I call the "capitalism is only evil" fallacy. Liberals and others who fall for this see the problems of our present system but take the successes for granted. They believe we can alter the present system to eliminate the problems without paying a price in fewer successes.

Same with the gold standard. The immense increase in wealth in the last 100 years has been associated with (generally) mild inflation. To assume that similar increase would have occurred without the inflation seems unwarranted. There are numerous well-known benefits of mild inflation. It is possible this is part of the cost of a growing economy.

2 posted on 11/25/2010 5:54:03 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: frithguild; listenhillary; Big Giant Air Head; Marie Antoinette

Good read.


3 posted on 11/25/2010 6:07:58 AM PST by Big Giant Head (Two years no AV, no viruses, computer runs great!)
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To: Sherman Logan

I do not adopt the predisposition of the author, whose overwrought and self aggrandizing prose reveals his “god realm” (To borrow from buddhism) belief that the world is teetering on the brink of disaster. I am not in that camp.

In the United States, one of the pressing problems of the impoverished is obesity. So, with that absurdity demonstrated, I will join your comments on the definition of poverty.

I think you misperceive my comments, however, if you think my reasoning may be characterized by the “capitalism is only evil” fallacy. Far from it. I am calling for more pure capitalism.

Much of the 20th century has seen the US move toward statism, and not because “the little guy needs protection,” which in nothing more than a trojan horse slogan. The uber rich and large corporate interests favor statism and the concomitant regulatory state because it protects their interests from competiton. They are the ones who nurture the “capitalism is only evil” fallacy, because purely capitalist implementation threatens their fat and on top of the heap position. Why choose more competiton, when you can use government to protect your positiion?

Fiat money falls in the same category as the rise of statism. Its analog, steady monetary inflation, is nothing more than a tax. Yes, it corresponds with measurements showing “growth,” which I argue is not growth at all.

With a gold standard, you will not see “growth” through higher rates of monetary exchanges. Gowth will be characterized by falling prices for goods that improve in quality over time. Thus, capital accumulates more rapidly because it is not restrained by government policy - more capitalism, as opposed to having savings confiscated through monetary inflation.


4 posted on 11/25/2010 6:27:02 AM PST by frithguild (The Democrat Party Brand - Big Government protecting Entrenched Interests from Competition)
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To: frithguild
Fiat money falls in the same category as the rise of statism. Its analog, steady monetary inflation, is nothing more than a tax. Yes, it corresponds with measurements showing “growth,” which I argue is not growth at all.

With a gold standard, you will not see “growth” through higher rates of monetary exchanges. Growth will be characterized by falling prices for goods that improve in quality over time. Thus, capital accumulates more rapidly because it is not restrained by government policy - more capitalism, as opposed to having savings confiscated through monetary inflation.

I agree with both points. Lower prices equal more money in relationship to the available goods. i.e. the money supply may be physically the same, but it has grown in purchasing power. If my $100 dollars buys 10% more goods, wealth has grown.

5 posted on 11/25/2010 6:40:00 AM PST by ChildOfThe60s ( If you can remember the 60s....you weren't really there)
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To: frithguild
And they were systematized in no small part because of Keynes’ absurd belief that “there are no intrinsic reasons for the scarcity of capital.”

That sounds like Keynes was unable to comprehend the relationship between money and goods/services. It is no wonder, then, that his prescription to "prime" an economy involves dumping freshly printed money into it, contrary to what logic and everyday experience tells us would be the effects of such an action.

And since gold has manifested these two aspects for over five thousand years, we assert without equivocation that a sound monetary system is a 100-percent-reserve gold standard that accordingly “secure[s] the economic system against the evils both of inflation and of de-flation/depression.”

I recall learning in history class that prices in California during the Gold Rush were incredibly high, compared to the rest of the country. Wasn't that also inflation?

While Keynes had only a faint notion of this hyper-productivity dynamic, we can at least give him his due for imagining that it wouldn’t be long before man would be “faced with his real, his permanent problem – how to use his freedom from pressing economic cares, how to occupy the leisure, which science and compound interest will have won for him, to live wisely and agreeably and well.” For that “science and compound interest” are nothing other than the exponential growth in technology that, aided and abetted by sound-money’s inherent price-reducing proclivity, do in fact have the power to free man “from pressing economic cares.”

I'd say we've been seeing the effects of having more leisure time, because it takes less work to provide for one's necessities. The "obesity epidemic" is, in large part, a result of that.

6 posted on 11/25/2010 7:01:50 AM PST by exDemMom (Now that I've finally accepted that I'm living a bad hair life, I'm more at peace with the world.)
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To: frithguild; Lurker; Jack Hydrazine; FromLori; azhenfud; NVDave; Kartographer; ...
Rule 1. You don't talk about fight club.

Rule 2. You don't talk about fight club.

Rule 3. When someone says stop, or goes limp, the fight is over.

Rule 4. Only two guys to a fight.

Rule 5. One fight at a time.

Rule 6. They fight without shirts or shoes.

Rule 7. The fights go on as long as they have to.

Rule 8. If this is your first night at fight club, you have to fight.

7 posted on 11/25/2010 7:07:52 AM PST by Chunga85 ("Foreclosure Fraud", TARP, "Mortgage Crisis", Bailout)
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To: exDemMom
I recall learning in history class that prices in California during the Gold Rush were incredibly high, compared to the rest of the country. Wasn't that also inflation?

I cannot say that I have studied this phenomenon. My instinct is that the rapid shift in population in that geographic area resulted in scarcity and therefore high prices. Inflation is the result of monetary policy, which results in higher prices. High price does not necessarily mean there is inflation.

8 posted on 11/25/2010 7:28:40 AM PST by frithguild (The Democrat Party Brand - Big Government protecting Entrenched Interests from Competition)
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To: Chunga85

Thanks Tyler


9 posted on 11/25/2010 7:29:06 AM PST by frithguild (The Democrat Party Brand - Big Government protecting Entrenched Interests from Competition)
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To: frithguild

Clever title, Homo Economicus, this was an attempt to describe Keynes from the perspective of modern economic illiterates. To understand Keynes fully read Keynes at Harvard, http://www.keynesatharvard.org/.


10 posted on 11/25/2010 7:49:46 AM PST by iopscusa (El Vaquero. (SC Lowcountry Cowboy))
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To: frithguild

What they taught in history class (4th or 5th grade) was that people had so much gold, that prices skyrocketed. The examples of 1849 prices told to us then were higher than the prices we paid for the same items at the time I took that history class (ca. 1970). Currently, some items, like a loaf of bread, still have not reached their 1849 high, although coffee is more expensive now. So, it seemed to me to be more of a problem of inflation, and not scarcity. I could be wrong.


11 posted on 11/25/2010 7:59:08 AM PST by exDemMom (Now that I've finally accepted that I'm living a bad hair life, I'm more at peace with the world.)
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To: exDemMom

Increase in prices is the result of the medium of exchange (money) becoming more common in relation to the desired good. Or, obviously, the goods becoming less common.

A is just the inverse of B.

Inflation can definitely occur with a gold-based economy. Lots of inflation after the discovery by the Spanish of mines in Mexico and Peru. Dislocated the Spanish economy the most, but affected the entire world.

Another historical example was when Alexander looted the Persian Empire’s treasury. The Persians, for some unknown reason, gathered in gold and silver, and just stored it, rather than putting it to work in the economy. They’d been doing this for close to 200 years.

Alex dumped this massive accumulation into the economy and things dislocated for most of a century thereafter.

The problem is that if the supply of “stuff” increases faster than the supply of gold, deflation occurs. Money becomes more valuable. You might think this is a good thing until you realize your clients will be wanting to pay you less, and your boss will be wanting to cut your pay. Somehow I’m not sure this would sit well with the average American!

Deflation has numerous other drawbacks, notably that it tends to significantly reduce the formation of new businesses and capital.

Another potential issue. Depending on where the “value” of the gold is set, there will be an incentive to produce “fake” gold. The technology is presently there, I believe, to make gold out of lead. With a big incentive to do so, the process might get a lot more cost-effective and suddenly massive amounts of gold hit the market. Back to inflation.


12 posted on 11/25/2010 10:42:07 AM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: Sherman Logan

Hmm. You seem to have a pretty good grasp of economic fundamentals.

From what you said, it would seem that many of the claims made by those selling gold are rather hyped. There really is NO currency—gold or otherwise—that can prevent inflation or shield people from it.


13 posted on 11/25/2010 2:17:46 PM PST by exDemMom (Now that I've finally accepted that I'm living a bad hair life, I'm more at peace with the world.)
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To: exDemMom

Gold has no magic power. Like anything else, its “value” is only in people’s heads.

Gold value is no doubt more stable than currency supply in the hands of politicians, but leaving the amount of monetary expansion up to the chance of gold mine finds seems a little strange.


14 posted on 11/25/2010 5:12:35 PM PST by Sherman Logan
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To: frithguild

Even more precious than gold are knowledge, ethics, and mindfulness of God. Our civilization is being stripped of all three.


15 posted on 11/26/2010 6:22:11 AM PST by P.O.E. (Compact Theory)
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