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To: LS
LS said: Mr. Tell, I appreciate the notion that people are “maxing out credit.”

I didn't make myself clear. I meant that the U.S. government has become the source of borrowed money which is propping up the economy. Some of the people at the shopping malls are employed today simply because the U.S. is spending 1.6 trillion dollars per year that is borrowed money. To some extent, there isn't even a "lender", but just the Federal Reserve printing money.

Whatever prosperity is sending people to the malls today can be expected to disappear if the deficit spending is reduced or eliminated. Evidently 40% of federal spending is borrowed money.

I don't see how this can continue. We're either going to be inflating our currency at that rate our we will be reducing spending at that rate. The trend line has got to be toward a painful future of having some money but rapidly rising prices or having no money due to joblessness. The middle ground of reducing deficit spending to 800 billion per year simply distributes the pain differently but won't reduce the total pain.

The deficit of 1.6 trillion dollars per year is equivalent to about $20,000 per family of four EVERY YEAR. The family of four won't be getting a monthly bill, they won't see the incredible interest burden that credit cards carry, but they will be paying for it sooner rather than later. This federal annual indebtedness is in ADDITION to whatever personal debt is carried by the family.

Individuals "max out" their credit cards when the lenders refuse to lend more. The U.S. government has obviously "maxed out" its credit cards or we wouldn't be seeing the Fed buying our debt. There won't be enough federal revenue to pay the interest rates that the world will demand should the Fed stop buying our debt.

21 posted on 06/02/2011 10:33:42 AM PDT by William Tell
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To: William Tell
I absolutely agree---and here's the stunning paradox: I have VERY smart people in finance, one a Columbia U. prof who is one of the most published authorities on banking and finance, telling me we are headed for hyperinflation.

The other is a financial adviser, who really knows his stuff and has protected my portfolio, who says we are on the brink of DEFLATION---that housing prices are down, that wages haven't recovered, that interest rates are very low. Now, if these two pretty smart people keep coming to exactly opposite conclusions, how are poor schmucks like us supposed to survive?

23 posted on 06/02/2011 11:44:06 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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