If Paul wins it is because Democrats have voted for him, not Republicans.
That seems unlikely to me. Santorum seems likely to break 20%, question is how much higher, and most polls have Romney around 24% and Paul fading somewhat.
Right now I would guess:
Santorum 26
Romney 25
Paul 18
Perry 13
Newt 12
Bachmann 5
Huntsman 1
| Candidate | Favorable | Unfavorable |
|---|---|---|
| Ron Paul | 43 | 51 |
| Newt Gingrich | 40 | 54 |
| Michele Bachmann | 52 | 37 |
| Jon Huntsman | 27 | 53 |
| Rick Perry | 52 | 39 |
| Mitt Romney | 48 | 44 |
| Rick Santorum | 60 | 30 |
Newt and Paul have relatively strong unfavorables.
Romney is split evenly between favorables and unfavorables.
Bachman and Perry do better in favorables vs unfavorable.
Santorum shines in that comparison.