New Yorkers in general, and Manhattanites in particular, are the most narrow-thinking group of people I have ever met. Yes, it is a “post-modern” secularist and of course left-leaning orthodoxy, but overall the uniformity of opinion, the group think, and the response one sees to “incorrect” opinions are amazingly consistent among the majority of New Yorkers.
You are correct. However, there is a growing group of closet conservatives that are “coming out.”
I practice medicine on the Upper East Side of Manhattan, and when I give my opinions about Obamacare, or when my patients see the photos of my 2 active-duty military kids on the credenza, the floodgates open and they start to confess their true feelings.
Obama will win New York, but not by the same margin as in 2008.