Larry, that is mathematically and materially FALSE. Obama is way too weak to assume the kind of edge ABO strategy assigns to him.
Pay attention: Evidence is strong that Obama is WEAK among his own base -- many will desert him in 2012. You "reason" (actually, emote) as if Obama's vote count was immutable.
Then again, you also think that any rejection of Romney is actually based in anti-Mormon bigotry, which makes you awfully darned dim.
“mathematically and materially FALSE”
Please provide a scenario, mathematically and materially supported, where someone other than Romney or Obama wins the election....