FIFTY FIVE PERCENT of those who have already voted are black, and nearly one-third of the people have already voted? Even if one in six Ohio voters are black, (which I really doubt) they would already have to have had 100% turnout to reach this point. Moreover, if the sample is 55% Black and he wins this group, say by 90% (say 50 for him and 5 for Romney), it means that in the other 45% he is loosing by close to 3 to 1 (say 12 for him and 33 for Romney. If he is doing better than 90% in the black vote, he is loosing the non-black vote by even more.
While the numbers don’t add up, unless the black turnout is going to be at about the 200% level (which it looks to be on track to be), they don’t look good for O.
Voting turnout by blacks will reach 200% before election day and may hit as high as 500% on election day according to a new NPR sponsored Acorn poll.