Massad Ayoob wrote about the coming ammo shortage last year, but he has a different view on the reason, which may be the case.
GUN AND AMMO SHORTAGE COMING?
Friday, April 6th, 2012
“Much has been made of Homeland Security’s recent contract with ATK for 450 million rounds of Federal HST 180 grain hollow point ammo, caliber .40 Smith & Wesson. I don’t see that as a harbinger of martial law and civil war as some do. Being in law enforcement myself, I’ve seen the severe shortages that have plagued even police agencies in the last several years. The contract is for up to all those millions of cartridges, and may mean nothing more malignant than that a huge government agency wants a contractual guarantee that they’ll be able to get enough to train and qualify their people, even if their actual deliveries never come close to the top level to which that contract holds the manufacturer.”
http://backwoodshome.com/blogs/MassadAyoob/2012/04/06/gun-and-ammo-shortage-coming/