Seeking a sixth term in office when voter antipathy toward Washington reaches all-time highs isn't easy. And in the early going, the Grimes campaign has framed the GOP leader as the personification of everything wrong with the country's dysfunctional political system.
But with Bevin, who has never held office and is running a campaign that emphasizes his outsider credentials, Grimes's strategy disintegrates.
"It would be night-and-day-change for the race," said Jim Cauley, a Democratic strategist in Kentucky who thinks Bevin presents a greater challenge than McConnell. "We would have to switch gears completely."
Even Bevin's avowed hard-right conservatism wouldn't cripple him in a general election. He has taken positions, such as threatening to shut down the government if Obamacare isn't defunded, that could hurt him in a general election. But Kentucky voters were presented with another ultraconservative candidate, Rand Paul in 2010, and put him in office despite a stiff challenge from the state's attorney general. And while Bevin's positions are sharp, he's never backed any position as egregious as Paul's uneasiness, later recanted, with the Civil Rights Act.
"That was the knock on Rand Paul, that he was so far to the right," said Dan Adams, who ran the now-senator's primary campaign in 2010 and is a Bevin supporter. "If there was any concern in 2010 about that, it was taken care of then. The only thing that has changed is we've probably become more conservative as a state."
Bevin's candidacy wouldn't lack for potential pitfalls: His lack of experience might help boost his appeal, but it also means he's untested. A difficult campaign could expose him as liable to make the same mistakes as previous (and infamous) Republican candidates, such as Christine O'Donnell or Todd Akin. In a sign of Bevin's vulnerability, McConnell's campaign has already run a TV ad criticizing him for lying about being a graduate of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
Jesse Benton, the senator's campaign manager, said it is "profoundly absurd" to believe Bevin was a stronger general-election candidate than McConnell. Bevin, he said, is "unproven and untested" and carried "deep flaws with virtually no vetting."
McConnell, on the other hand, is a veteran politician who has survived tough challenges before. And many independent political analysts, such as Nate Silver of The New York Times, expect him to walk into a general election against Grimes as the heavy favorite.
Many Bluegrass operatives also say that, in any case, it's a moot point. McConnell remains the heavy favorite against Bevin, who has yet to solidify the party's conservative factions behind him. The incumbent has far more money, much higher name recognition, and the prized endorsement of conservative grassroots favorite Paul. Bevin hasn't even been able to earn an endorsement from the anti-establishment Club for Growth.
/johnny
If they really wnat him to win why would they say that. I think they want the reverse.
Here’s the site for Bevin’s Senate campaign: https://mattbevin.com/
Democrats really wanted Mitt Romney to run for Pres. too.
And look how well that worked for us?
I wish we could have had Gingrich. Obama would have been trembling in a corner after the first debate.
I am not saying he was the best candidate (although he was in my top3)- only the best debater.