An election results website and prediction generator I’ve found and really like is Dave Leip’s Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections:
http://uselectionatlas.org/PRED/SENATE/2014/pred.php
He is a little more measured in his approach, showing a net gain of 4 for Republicans and a net loss of 4 for the Dems.
That’s an excellent website.
I used in 2008 and 2012.
If I read his map correctly, he is putting the Louisiana and Alaska as current GOP seats and he is only giving us a pickup of Arkansas incumbent seat by Cotton. That would be a plus six for the GOP because Begich and Landreau would be gone as well.
We need 6 to take the Senate, and we will get at least 6.