I’ll find it and link the last poll...
It says it is a Republican polled, but it only polled registered adults. These aren’t accurate polls.
The reality is a conservative like Cruz or Walker could win 100%
of the conservative vote and it still would not be enough to win.
Conservatives make up about 30% of American voters.
Even the most conservative of conservatives will have to pick up
a large chunk of independents and Reagan democrats to win.