The Art of the Steal… Democrats voting in GOP contests make a HUUGGEEE difference

Flopping Aces ^ | 03-14-16 | Vince

[ConservingFreedom]

Why have any H-1B visas?

I'd be delighted to have none - but no Pub is running on that platform. (Not sure about Bernie ...)

[V K Lee]

Amen! The lion can’t be tamed :-)) A calm, cool General working his way across the battlefield.

[ConservingFreedom]

Trump doesn’t need to resemble Reagan.

Maybe not - but we know Reagan held on to his crossovers while McLame didn't ... so being Reagan is a sufficient condition.

It’s goofy to think “patterns” in politics mean much when societal times change and the people involved are different (those running and those voting)

You seem to agree patterns don't mean nothing - and I certainly haven't implied and don't think they mean everything - so it's an empirical question as to how much they mean. To facilely assume that Trump will hold onto his crossovers is to ignore recent history.

[ConservingFreedom]

Now it's not too hard to imagine ten times that number will switch over at general election time.

Argument by imagination - very persuasive.

[ConservingFreedom]

Yes, the story is an attempt to show Trump is only getting support from Democrats!

No, that's you propping up a straw man.

[ConservingFreedom]

This article presupposes that all those who changed over will change back to vote for the Dems in the General. And some may. But no one really knows.

That's about it - Reagan's Dums stuck but McLame's didn't.

[poconopundit]

Well, you maybe right that I did go too far.

[poconopundit]

Well, you maybe right that I did go too far.

[ConservingFreedom]

Well, you maybe right that I did go too far.

Manfully conceded. This primary season has FR wound up to a degree never seen ... since last primary season.

[poconopundit]

Yeah, that's a very good thing.  The energy will take us over the to in the general -- let's hope.

[poconopundit]

BTW, I stated this incorrectly.  I didn't mean to imply that 460,000 would switch parties.  What I meant is that 460,000 Pennsylvania voters might vote Republican this time if 10% of that number actually switched parties.

This recognizing that making the move to switch parties requires a lot more effort than merely voting for a new party.

Stated that way, don't you think the numbers are a little more possible?

In any case, the absolute number of new voters coming into the election cycle might be the biggest factor at all.

[poconopundit]

BTW, I stated this incorrectly.  I didn't mean to imply that 460,000 would switch parties.  What I meant to say (but didn't) is that 460,000 Pennsylvania voters might vote Republican this time if 10% of that number actually switched parties.

This recognizing that making the move to switch parties requires a lot more effort than merely voting for a new party.

Stated that way, don't you think the numbers are a little more plausible?  Or is it still too far a stretch?

In any case, the absolute number of new voters coming into the election cycle might be the biggest factor of all.

[ConservingFreedom]

What I meant to say (but didn't) is that 460,000 Pennsylvania voters might vote Republican this time if 10% of that number actually switched parties.

Might happen, might not - McLame's crossover votes returned home in the general election.