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Correct me if I am wrong please. No snarky comments, no lies, just answer the questions I posed here.

If you are wrong, it isn't by much. That said, I'm not worried about Cruz losing the south to HRC or Bernie Sanders in November. In 1976, Ford won most of the states that he lost to Reagan in (outside of the south, but that was local boy Jimmy Carter, and the D-R shift in the south had not yet happened). It was the states that he won against Reagan that wound up killing him when Carter won them in '76.

I believe that Trump can win, and win big, if he can maintain a minimum of composure (the news release from yesterday's results were NOT a good move). He's at his best when he can laugh at the process and be a bit above it, like he was briefly when he lost in Iowa.

Hillary Clinton depresses both minority and millenial votes, the Dem base. Ted Cruz energizes the conservative base. He does well in areas like the rural west, where big government anything is not welcome. He'll do fine here in the south. I don't see many independent men voting for Hillary Clinton.

Cruz' team can run a disciplined, on message campaign, and can take a punch or two and come back. I think we are looking at a map like 2004, only better, because of the weakness of the Dem candidate. If Trump gets the nomination, the map will look different, but he can win, and big.