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TRUMP SURGING IN PA DOWN ONLY 3 with 2 weeks to go (MOE 2.19%)
Real Clear Politics ^ | 10/22/2016 | Staff

Posted on 10/25/2016 2:57:43 PM PDT by GilGil

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To: Parley Baer

YES you are so right! My Dad had worked in automobile manufacturing. Union would question each one asking who they would vote for. I asked my Dad what was he going to do since he was Republican. Would he lie? [My Dad had 1 suit and holes in his church shoes even though he tithed.]

He said “I have a family and wife to support. It’s not a lie because God understands I am under duress.

So I tell them what they want to hear.

BUT, when I get in the voting booth and pull he curtain, I VOTE FOR THE PERSON I WANT!


21 posted on 10/25/2016 3:11:03 PM PDT by UMCRevMom@aol.com
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To: Inyo-Mono

Hard for me to understand how anyone could be undecided at this point.

______________

No one is undecided. They are just not telling anyone.


22 posted on 10/25/2016 3:11:13 PM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
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To: buckleyconservative
I think he’s got Bucks

That's a really big deal.

23 posted on 10/25/2016 3:11:32 PM PDT by JonPreston
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To: RoseofTexas

The headline has the date oct 22.. I’m I missing something here?

___________

What’s the problem?


24 posted on 10/25/2016 3:12:00 PM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
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To: GilGil
I am concerned he is peaking too early...
25 posted on 10/25/2016 3:12:07 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: GilGil

Trump is leading in PA. If Ohio has swung +8 vs 2012 and NV has swumg +8, PA will do much the same and last election was -5.

Look at these internals:

F 54%
M 46%

R 42 D 48 I 10 - only 10% indy???

with these internals, and I didn’t see the college education skew, I think PA is Trump +3 right now.


26 posted on 10/25/2016 3:13:05 PM PDT by rigelkentaurus
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To: GilGil

Holy cow, that poll shows 29% of African Americans support Trump... if that plays out on election day in PA... Hillary is toast....

Hillary has lost Erie and Harrisburg and is only up 2 in Pittsburgh... To contrast this, Obama had 56% of support in Pittsburgh in 2012... Hillary according to this poll has 45%. O had Erie by almost 58%.. Hillary is actually losing Erie by 9 points 50 to 41...

56 out of PHilly was enough for O, but he had leads in these other areas to help him... She doesn’t, shes well behind O in most the other areas... Trump is 10 points below Romney in Philly, but with 8% undecided there, I expect he’ll likely be close to even to Romney in that area on election day.. maybe a few points down, but not 20.

Hillary doesn’t have it... if this poll is right, the numbers aren’t there for her... She can’t lose Erie, Harrsiburg, and only be up 2 in Pitt, and even in Philly and expect to win... Trump is going to majorly overperform Romney across the state, and Hillary is at least looking at ~200k fewer votes just from a quick run at the big numbers.. easily another 100-200k less when the smaller areas are done.

The numbers are not there for her, if this poll is anywhere close to right.. Hillary is losing PA pretty solidly.

These numbers if accurate pretty much validate my belief... she is up big in Philly, but 56% support in the Philly region is NOT going to be enough for her to carry the state...


27 posted on 10/25/2016 3:13:33 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: GilGil

No no problem another freeper answered my question..:)


28 posted on 10/25/2016 3:15:10 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: rigelkentaurus
R 42 D 48 I 10 - only 10% indy???

It depends how they push the undecideds. If they included the soft lean into the D&R camps, that could be plausible. Most pollsters will have the soft leans in the I camp.

29 posted on 10/25/2016 3:16:34 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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To: Ken H

I am concerned he is peaking too early...
__________________

You are nuts. Just play to win. All will fall in place.


30 posted on 10/25/2016 3:17:02 PM PDT by GilGil (E. Deplorables Unum)
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To: RoseofTexas

What about AZ?


31 posted on 10/25/2016 3:17:14 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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To: Ken H

“I am concerned he is peaking too early...”

Peaking too early, lol. There are only 2 weeks left!


32 posted on 10/25/2016 3:18:38 PM PDT by flaglady47 (TRUMP Rock!)
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To: Inyo-Mono

Some people like attention and to be different. They’ll say they’re undecided so everyone they know will talk to them and try to get them to back once candidate over the other. In truth, I doubt very many of the “undecided” will even vote.


33 posted on 10/25/2016 3:19:13 PM PDT by Terry Mross (This country will fail to exist in my lifetime. And I'm gettin' up there in age.)
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To: Parley Baer

I hope you’re right, because here in Illinois it is not unusual to see those “Proud Union Home” signs on front lawns right alongside “Hillary/Kaine” and “Duckworth” signs. Perhaps those union members are government employees and not blue-collar tradesmen.


34 posted on 10/25/2016 3:21:00 PM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: RoseofTexas

The rats think all of obamas voters will vote for Hillary. Few issues with this. For one, more AA men will vote for Trump. Also, more blue collars will vote for Trump. Finally all those disenfranchised military votes from overseas are home and they will vote for Trump.


35 posted on 10/25/2016 3:21:43 PM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Election 2016 - Freedom or Slavery)
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To: GilGil

I’m sorry but I do not believe this poll. This sounds like a fraudulent poll aimed to get Trump to spend his time and resources there.

Should be concentrating on Ohio and Florida.


36 posted on 10/25/2016 3:23:06 PM PDT by zwerni (this isn't gonna be good for business)
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To: JonPreston

Nationwide, I can see the AA vote maybe going 80/20 in favor of Clinton.


37 posted on 10/25/2016 3:25:52 PM PDT by ought-six (Multiculturalism is national suicide, and political correctness is the cyanide capsule.)
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To: GilGil

Fix your sarcasm meter.


38 posted on 10/25/2016 3:26:21 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: flaglady47

It was a joke.


39 posted on 10/25/2016 3:26:55 PM PDT by Ken H (Best election ever!)
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To: GilGil

On Hannity there was a lady poll watcher from Arlington Texas on the phone and she said that the early voter turnout is off-the-wall! From the many years that she has been an offical poll watcher she has only seen this kind of turnout twice once for Obama and the other for these past primaries. But nothing like this this early for voting ... she was saying that the enthusiasm for Trump is off the charts and she has never seen anything like this before ..streams of people constantly..though mind you this is a red County but nonetheless the enthusiasm is probably nationwide!


40 posted on 10/25/2016 3:28:41 PM PDT by RoseofTexas
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