[Dr. Sivana]

That’s the way I’d bet.

I'd bet against that. With the current rules, and the amount of money and deal-making going around, brokered conventions are extremely unlikely, all is worked out before the convention. It will whittle down to Biden, a farther left "Not-Biden" and a minority/female candidate. If it is Biden or Sanders, you can kiss black turnout goodbye, and chances in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina as well.

[ClearCase_guy]

Along those lines:

I think Trump is unstoppable. I think the Dems realize that now or will at least realize it later.

If a mainstream Dem (Biden) gets the nomination and loses in a landslide, then the 2020 lesson the Dems have to walk away with is that White guys with mainstream ideas must be forbidden in the future. They DON’T want to walk away with that lesson.

However, if a minority/female socialist loses in a landslide, the Dems get to walkaway from 2020 with the lesson that maybe being more of a mainstream American party might not be such a bad idea.

I think Dems are crazy. But just how stupid are they? I think they might be smart enough to sacrifice a minority/female socialist in 2020 and use that as an excuse to stop being quite so crazy. It’s their only hope.

[Leaning Right]

> brokered conventions are extremely unlikely, all is worked out before the convention <

Tired old Hillary has been dragging herself around the country on a speaking tour. Why is she doing that? She sure doesn’t need the money. It’s because she wants to stay in the public eye for 2020.

Maybe she’s just delusional. But maybe, like you said, it has all been worked out, and she’s at the top of the list.

I wouldn’t take an even money bet on that. But give me 3-1 odds, and I’ll put a few bucks down.

Disclaimer: I enjoy handicapping horses. It’s my hobby. And I’m terrible at it. Am I any better with politicians? Probably not.