I’m not against “radical” theory, per se. I’m against radical stupidity.
There is no fixed class or cluster or gaggle of people who are swing voters. But I strongly believe there are people who have no particularly party loyalty, and I say that with no disparagement implied. I think lots lots lots more people who hated Trump are coming around to him than moving the other way.
Regardless of theory or whichever gender bathroom it originates in, Trump is looking to double the African-American vote to the “R” side. If that’s the case, he wins 47-3 or better and that’s just a mathematical fact.
Maybe not 47-3, but it would still be pretty substantial.
It could add the following to Trump's side:
Delaware
VA
It could keep MI, WI and PA in his column.
It could solidify GA and NC.
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The key demographic in the election IMHO will be the Roman Catholic vote.
IF RCs vote for Trump as they did last time he will win. The RC vote has only gone for the GOP candidate four times since 1952.
Like it or not they will determine the election.
DJT asked blacks in 2016 what they had to lose by voting for him. They now know what they would lose if they don’t vote for him in 2020.