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The Man who Correctly Predicted President Trump’s 2016 Win Predicts President Trump has a 91% Chance of Being Reelected in 2020; His model has been correct since 1996
Gateway Pundit ^ | 07/02/2020 | Joe Hoft

Posted on 07/02/2020 8:15:35 PM PDT by SeekAndFind

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To: SeekAndFind

I have Trump holding every state he won in 2016, adding NH and MN.

But Demented Perv Biteme could indeed bump this up by 20 or more EVs.

Take a state like VA. Trump lost by 212,000 votes. He doesn’t need to take 212,000 more votes to win, only 107,000. And he doesn’t need all those DemoKKKrats to flip, merely for some combination of flips and stay-at-homes to win.

Do you think that the gun issues by “Comfortable” Ralph Northam have flipped 107,000? Or that disaffected blacks, who see the DemoKKKrats destroying their communities, may either switch or stay at home?

For four years black approval of Trump has moved between 15% and 28%. That’s anywhere from 7% to 20% more than the share of black vote he got in 2016.I, for one, think he will easily beat 8%, ending up around 11-12% and with ANOTHER 3-5% staying home (i.e., 1/2 vote each, or 12.5% to 14.5% “net” vote).


21 posted on 07/03/2020 6:36:09 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: pepsionice

Don’t forget thousands of gun owners in VA.


22 posted on 07/03/2020 6:36:52 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: SeekAndFind

We don’t know if he won it or not, with all of the “ballot harvesting” and late-model cars with stuffed trunks and all across blue states.

But that sure is a high percentage, although not as high as “100,000,000:0”.


23 posted on 07/09/2020 11:20:19 AM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
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