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To: Lonesome in Massachussets

I’m not good at math, what does “3 times less likely” to die mean? (Please explain by saying something like “instead of 10 out of a 100 dying, only (this amount) would die”, or something like that please).

(This is why I don’t gamble lol)


10 posted on 11/18/2021 9:33:11 AM PST by Bob434
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To: Bob434
(Please explain by saying something like “instead of 10 out of a 100 dying, only (this amount) would die”, or something like that please).

Look at the table. For people 50-59

Number of cases fully vaccinated: 7319
Number of deaths (by covid) as result: 13
Case fatality rate = 13/7319 = 0.18 %

Number of cases fully unvaccinated: 31,903
Number of deaths (by covid) as result: 180
Case fatality rate = 180/31903= 0.56 %

An unvaccinated person between 50-59 in the unvaccinated set was more than 3 X more likely to die than a person in the vaccinated set.

Put another way, if the unvaccinated set had experienced deaths at the same rate then 31903 x 13/7139 = 58.09 or about 58 would have been expected to die anyway. 180 - 58 = 122 might be alive today if they had been vaccinated, however.

This is just simple math, I have no way of validating these statistics, and a lot depends on how you classify individuals and events (i.e., "covid death" and "fully vaccinated"). Read the article. The author is a big critic of lockdowns and mandatory vaccination. However he appears to be competent, intellectually honest, and an experienced health care professional.

23 posted on 11/18/2021 10:18:57 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (Diana Moon Glampers for Secretary of Education! )
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To: Bob434

BTW, I had my booster shot last week (Thursday), my wife is getting hers today.


24 posted on 11/18/2021 10:20:08 AM PST by Lonesome in Massachussets (Diana Moon Glampers for Secretary of Education! )
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