I don’t think so.
What is probably going to happen is that the Democrats will bungle this to some degree, trying to make it about LGBT(etc) and black people, NOT women, who they are in the process of trying to erase. What they will get right, is voter turnout.
The Republicans, will probably proceed on the plan that this is a wave election, and start doing things like trying to measure for new drapes in the Oval Office, getting ahead of themselves. I doubt they will be big on voter turnout because thats just not what the RNC does.
I think it will come down to the Dems relentlessly persecuting Trump for Jan 6, which will do little more than remind voters of Trump’s economy, and their buyers remorse for the Democrats. At the same time, the Republicans can’t be said to be entirely sane either (I mean, a very large majority of the voters favor abortion rights, and Republicans representatives are supposed to represent, right?) The voters will just have to figure out which variety of insanity they can live with until they can ditch that too when the opportunity presents itself.
imho the coming democrat riots will step on their J6 narrative.
It will be much harder for democrats to indict Trump for whatever when all the democrat supporters are trashing US cities.
Its a kind of cognitive dissonance for voters when the rulers and the rioters are all singing off the same music sheets.
Riots might have worked when the republican Trump was in the white house but when the democrat biden is in office —riots will be a tougher sell for the media.
How can the liberal media praise and condone and justify liberal riots in one story and in the next story condemn the former president for what? Rioting?
The liberal media will be stepping on their own story.