Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article

To: PGR88

They didn’t dare step one foot inside Ukraine.
————-
Exactly. Vlad did again launch another massive attack all across Ukraine last night, as far as Lvov ( the Ukie Polish border). I wonder why the western MSM omits these large, nightly attacks? Kinda ruins their narrative Ivan is out men and ammo….

Which brings us to the latest, the Brits Storm Shadow missiles are almost depleted, a large percentage were wiped out by Vlad’s strikes , such a shame as the Brit MOD also stated it will take years to replace ( much like our US manufacturers have repeatedly stated) ..such a shame.

On another note: a supersonic Kinzhal struck yet another Ukie/ NATO? command center, developing. That said, Vlads KH35’s ( and KH 101) supersonic missiles have been absent recently, fueling speculation they will be used in Vlad’s upcoming northern offensive. Vlad’s KH 50’s are unknown due to their stealth and hypersonic speed….

More:

https://theduran.locals.com/index.php

That said, as the Ukie grand offensive has failed miserably, many men and machines eliminated, the reported Russian grand offensive is most assuredly around the corner….keep your eyes on the Oskol river….


18 posted on 08/28/2023 6:21:24 PM PDT by delta7
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies ]


To: delta7

“ Armchair Warlord
@ArmchairW
Something I called on Telegram back on August 8th but which has been fully borne out by now:

Ukraine appears to be out of Storm Shadow/SCALP cruise missiles, or at least very close to out of them, after a Russian strike in Khmelnitsky three weeks ago targeted what was likely the primary storage facility for the weapons.

The Russians hit the Starokonstantinov military airfield the night of August 5th, where Ukraine’s small fleet of Su-24s modified to carry Western cruise missiles was based. Despite some online criticism of the strike as ineffective, massive secondary explosions were reported at the time and satellite photos of the aftermath show an enormous crater where the base’s ammunition storage bunkers once sat. I believe that the strike was in fact highly successful and destroyed Ukraine’s storage depot for its Storm Shadow missiles, placed exactly where they would logically be stored for most convenient use.

Ukraine conducted a large (and largely ineffectual) Storm Shadow strike on the road bridges connecting Crimea and Kherson on August 6th, but this is not inconsistent with the loss of the depot. The Ukrainians had warning of an incoming strike for hours beforehand and have made a practice of launching their aircraft during such attacks to avoid their destruction on the ground. The missiles fired on the 6th had likely been uploaded onto aircraft prior to the attack and were thus saved.

Now for the real tell - the next day, August 7th, the German Bundestag reversed their longstanding position on transferring Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine and authorized the move. This strongly suggests to me that this was done on an emergency basis as the Storm Shadow supply had suddenly run dry. There are very few coincidences in war, and Germany moving on Taurus missiles a matter of hours after the Russians destroyed an ammunition depot at a Ukrainian base hosting cruise missile-equipped strike aircraft is an enormous red flag - presumably, appropriate pressure was brought to bear on the Germans after this disaster and they fell in line, at least temporarily.

The Germans subsequently backed off transferring Taurus missiles to Russia, but they were clearly put under a great deal of pressure on the matter at the time. The Russians may have made some equally-convincing threats under the table after the Taurus transfer started being seriously discussed.

Most significantly, there have been no confirmed Storm Shadow attacks since August 6th. The Russian MoD released a video of one being intercepted by a Buk SAM system (almost certainly quite old), there have been rumors of Russian interdiction strikes against another missile shipment, and there were rumors that front-line positions in Rabotino were hit with a cruise missile attack (probably misreported JDAMs). That’s it.

We’ve seen zero cruise missile strikes in the Russian deep rear in the last three weeks when they were previously happening with some regularity. Given the intensity and clear importance of the fighting in Zaporozhe over the course of this month it appears that Ukraine simply has no long-range weapons available for use at this critical juncture in the campaign.

With France and the UK seemingly out of missiles to send, Germany sitting on its own stockpile and the US very reluctant to transfer anything for fear of giving the Chinese a free hand in the Pacific, it’s unclear to me where the Ukrainians are going to get new supplies of deep-strike weapons at this point.”

https://www.moonofalabama.org/2023/08/ukraine-sitrep-us-to-prolong-its-proxy-war.html#comments


33 posted on 08/28/2023 7:04:21 PM PDT by delta7
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 18 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
Bloggers & Personal
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson