RuZZia can produce about 200 tanks per year.
“On the turret of one of the T-90M is number 192, on the BMPT number 6 (the number of the vehicle in the order), which may indicate the correctness of the estimate of production of new tanks in Russia about 200 vehicles per year.”
https://twitter.com/AndreiBtvt/status/1706269303853785496
Too bad…
“More information about yesterday’s Khalino military airfield incident. As per Main Directorate of Intelligence of Ukraine: At the airfield “Khalino” in the Kursk region, a Ukrainian drone was landed by Russian electronic warfare systems on the runway. When the leadership of the aviation regiment and FSB officers arrived for closer inspection drone exploded. As claimed, the following were killed or injured during the explosion:
→ commander of the 14th aviation regiment;
→ one of his deputies;
→ a group of aviator officers;
→ a representative of the FSB military counterintelligence;
→ airport employees.”
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1706237220758147200
“RuZZia can produce about 200 tanks per year.”
They are building two new tank factories, but they will take a while to get running.
Perun (on YouTube) did an analysis of how the type of Russian tank being hit on the battlefield has changed over time. It showed that new production of T-90s was a small but relatively consistent percentage of losses, while the bulk were refurbished tanks from storage, that showed a declining trend in their capability over time. Fewer with thermal sights, growing use of older models.
It seems that they have been using the best first, and will likely have greater availability problems and declining capability, as they scrape the bottom of the barrel.
Satellite pictures of storage yards show howitzers being removed at a roughly similar rate to tanks (over half gone), but most of those left have had their barrels removed. There is likely some degree of parts stripping off the tanks in storage as well, that is less visible from space.
Foreign supply is likely the only way they could maintain their replacement rate (assuming attrition rate stays constant) through this next year.