Brokeback will probably win a few including Best Picture, but for the first time in years I won't be watching. I've always enjoyed it too, but the program has deteriorated in recent times...in terms of their hosts too.
There were some good movies this year, none nominated. The ones I felt were worthy: Pride and Prejudice, Walk The Line, Cinderella Man, North Country, Memoirs of a Giesha, The Upside of Anger.
I though North Country was nominated for a bunch...