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To: stylin19a

The 1918 pandemic had a CFR of 12%.The H5N1 current CFR is around 80% with an expected attenuation to 64% after a pandemic year. If this jumps at the current CFR the clock will be turned back several centuries.


71 posted on 11/24/2007 1:46:21 PM PST by Domestic Church (AMDG...)
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To: Domestic Church
The 1918 pandemic had a CFR of 12%.The H5N1 current CFR is around 80% with an expected attenuation to 64% after a pandemic year. If this jumps at the current CFR the clock will be turned back several centuries.

I wasn't familiar with the term CFR, so I looked it up. So I found that "extremely lethal = CFR > 60%". But then if the 1918 pandemic had a CFR of 12%, why was it so lethal, and is CFR really a valid predictor of a pandemic?

91 posted on 04/25/2009 4:59:07 AM PDT by nicolezmomma
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