I’ve heard that water temps are fairly low this year. Since water temp is what feeds these storms its expected to be a slow/weak season. At least thats what they are telling us here in Florida.
Of course that wont make insurance or oil prices go down so we wont hear about it.
Not true. water temps are generally above normal across the Tropical Atlantic; a bit below normal in the Carribean, and above normal in the Gulf of Mexico.
You can't go by the water temperatures at the immediate coast, as those will fluctuate wildly from week to week based on wind direction, etc.