I don’t suppose this model has factored in the customary jog east that occurs with GOM storms.
It’s definately showing the typical north then northeast swing, but it doesn’t have much ne movement till after landfall. The overall trend has been west though, so it’s still possible we see the landfall point shift more west in the short term as well.. Though, if the center survives and moves off Hispaniola on the northern end of the island the western trends may stop or reverse. Conditions will be very favorable once in the Gulf should this make it there, so it will be interesting to see where it ends up in the next 24 hours.
Well we knew it was coming and here it is. The thing is most people aren’t informed yet, and they are heading to the beach. By the time they get home Sunday and check on the weather Monday they won’t have much time to watch out.