[NautiNurse]

	Public Information Statement
Statement as of 9:49 PM EDT on August 15, 2008 ... All persons in west central and southwest Florida should monitor the latest tropical weather information... The low pressure area over Hispaniola has developed into Tropical Storm Fay... which continues to move west. Computer models suggest that Fay could pose a threat to southwest and west central Florida early next week. However... there is a very high level of uncertainty regarding the track and intensity of the system as it moves away from Hispaniola and approaches Cuba over the weekend. As a result... residents and visitors of west central and southwest Florida are encouraged to keep a close watch on this system throughout the upcoming weekend. This is a good time for residents to go over their hurricane plans. Visitors to Florida are encouraged to read up on initial preparedness actions that may needed. The following are basic suggested actions that should be taken at this time: Check batteries for radios and flashlights... drinking water... canned or dried food... first aid supplies and prescription medicine. Have a sufficient supply of Cash as access to credit cards and automated Cash machines may not be available without power. Check fuel levels on automobiles... generators and chain saws. Make initial plans to determine where you will likely be in case of an approaching storm. Check whether you live in an evacuation zone. For the latest information regarding Fay... please stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio... as well as information from local government officials and media outlets. You can also monitor the latest statements... as well as possible watches and warnings... from the National Weather Service office in Ruskin on the web at weather.Gov/tampabay. Information from the National Hurricane Center can be found on weather.Gov by clicking on the hurricanes link.

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

My guess is that west central Florida is greater Tampa/St. Pete plus Sarasota. Getting a little close for comfort. Of course Ocala is one of the safest places on the peninsula.

[rdl6989]

000
WTNT31 KNHC 160852
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
500 AM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008

...FAY WILL CROSS HAITI AND EMERGE OVER WATER LATER TODAY...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM EAST OF CABO FRANCES VIEJO ON THE
NORTHERN COAST TO SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS ON THE SOUTHERN COAST HAS
BEEN DISCONTINUED.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO WESTWARD TO THE
NORTHERN BORDER WITH HAITI...AND FOR THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GRANMA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN THE PROVINCES OF CENTRAL CUBA
WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA...THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.0 WEST OR ABOUT 20
MILES... 35 KM...EAST-NORTHEAST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
235 MILES...375 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY SUNDAY NIGHT. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
OF FAY WILL MOVE ACROSS HAITI THIS MORNING...AND WILL BE MOVING
NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA TONIGHT AND
SUNDAY.

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
FAY COULD WEAKEN SLIGHTLY WHILE MOVING OVER HISPANIOLA THIS
MORNING...BUT SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY AND ON
SUNDAY AFTER THE CENTER MOVES BACK OVER WATER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE
WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.

FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA...EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA...JAMAICA...AND
THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION...18.7 N...72.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB