[NautiNurse]

Invest 91

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over the southeastern
Gulf of Mexico is primarily associated with a tropical wave
interacting with a mid- to upper-level trough. This activity has
become a little more concentrated over the southeastern Gulf of
Mexico where surface pressures are beginning to fall. There are no
signs of a surface circulation at this time and any additional
development...if any...should be slow to occur.  This system should
moves toward the northwest over the eastern Gulf of Mexico on
Sunday. There is a low chance...less than 30 percent...of this
system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.

[Lucius Cornelius Sulla]

Up in post 131 that thing is starting to look pretty healthy.

[rodguy911]

Thanks NN,less than 30% is encouraging for the Northern Gulf coasts.