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To: JrsyJack
cocktail of three flu viruses are reported to have mutated into a single pneumonic plague, which it is believed may be far more dangerous than swine flu. The death toll has reached 189 and more than 1 million people have been infected, most of them in the nine regions of Western Ukraine.

189/1,000,000 = 0.0189%. Or, expressed in the common rate: 18.9 deaths per 100,000.

If every person in the world was infected with this disease, and the death rate remained at 18.9 per 100,000, it would put this disease between "road traffic accidents" (19.1) and "childhood diseases" (18.1).

It would be ranked #20 in this list of death rates, by cause:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_causes_of_death_by_rate

12 posted on 11/17/2009 3:01:39 PM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good WOMAN (Sgt. Kimberly Munley) with a gun)
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To: justlurking; SunkenCiv
Ukraine Dead Increase to 328 - Still No Sequences
Recombinomics Commentary 19:17
November 17, 2009

The above numbers are in the latest update from the Ukraine Health Department and include 13 more deaths. Although the number of deaths has decline slightly from the prior two days, the increase in cases and hospitalizations suggest the decline in deaths may be temporary. The largest increase in cases was again in Kiev (5522 to 109,676) and two other eastern oblast (see map) had daily increases of more than 4000 cases (Dnipropetrovsk and Denetsk). The steady rise in deaths continues to increase concerns over an H1N1 genetic change leading to an increase in lung disease such as those described earlier.

Recently released swine H1N1 from other locations have included receptor binding domain changes at position 225 (D225E, D225N, D225G) as well as 226 (Q226R) raising concerns that similar changes in Ukraine cold lead to the high frequency of fatal lung infections (Q226R has been seen previously in human H5N1 as well as H3 isolates from swine, ducks, and seals). The new update did not address receptor binding domain changes or other SNPs that could have significant effects on the pathogenicity of the virus.

Therefore, the release of sequences and comments on receptor binding domain changes would be useful
http://www.recombinomics.com/News/11170902/Ukraine_328.html

26 posted on 11/18/2009 5:24:11 AM PST by AdmSmith
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